|
Starfleet Selections: NFL Week 6
YTD: 35-33-2
Units won: 52.44
YTD Record Broken Down:
-201 or worse: 0-0
-125 or -200: 0-0
-111 to -125: 3-4-1
-101 to -110: 19-14-2
+100 to +110: 6-6
+111 to +125: 1-2
+125 to +185: 4-2
+186 to +300: 3-3
+300 onwards: 0-0
1 unit plays: 15-15-1
2 unit plays: 14-11-2
3 unit plays: 1-3
4 unit plays: 1-1
6 unit plays: 2-0
9 unit plays: 1-0
10 unit plays: 0-1
12 unit plays: 1-0
16 unit plays: 1-0
Notes:
2 middle attempts, failed: scalped for a total gain of +.4 units.
~~~
Allrighty: here are the games that interest me this week.
HOU +13 (-110) @ DAL
2 units @ Pinnacle
Ok. So I'm from Houston. I'm man enough to admit that this may slightly influence my bet here. But let's look at the facts. Texans are off a bye week and just watched a Philly team dismantle Drew Bledsoe. This is a big rivalry game for the Texans. Texas Pride and the governor's cup, after all, are at stake.
Cowboys have the Giants game coming up and may disregard this in-state rivalry to look ahead. 12 points is a lot of points to be giving, much less 13. Oh: and the Texans are 1-0 SU against the Cowboys. Let's make it 2-0, boys!
For fun, I may stick one unit on the Texans moneyline later. Yes, I'm that crazy. 
WAS -9 (-110) vs. TEN
6 units @ Skybook
I may buy back some of this later, but for now 6 units seems right.
Tennessee played tough last week, I'll give them that. They held a good Colts team down for most of the game, losing on a backbreaking drive by Peyton Manning. But I don't think lightning will strike twice.
Tennessee still has a porous run defense, which will allow Portis to run everywhere, taking pressure off of Brunell. And Washington's defense is nothing to scoff at either.
Meanwhile, Young is still a rookie QB trying to adjust to the league from running an offense taylor made for him in college.
Washington should be able to take care of business here
CIN -6 (-107) @ TB
6 units at Pinnacle
Honestly, I'm afraid this is a bit of a trap. I'll see where the public is later and see the appropriate line moves (or absence thereof).
However, I think that Cincinnatti will be able to take care of business here. Tampa Bay's offense will simply not be able to keep up. And Cincy's offense should be able to handle Tampa's aging defense. They (TB's D) still have the experience and the smarts, but have collectively lost a step.
Cincy wins in a bounceback game.
I'm also eyeing the following bets:
Wanted to take the Texans over 42, but the line moved on me. Contemplating whether or not to still hit it.
Also, the lions may be worth a bet against Buffalo. In my experience, teams that go from favorites to underdogs tend to do well. Plus, in a game with two evenly matched (in my eyes) teams who are on the same level, I'll take the home team at +money.
LETS GO TEXANS!
|