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Dangerous bluff 600 NL FR party

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  1. #1
    spino1i's Avatar
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    Default Dangerous bluff 600 NL FR party

    Villain is 37.1/20.0/2.67 with a WTSD% of 13% over 70 hands.
    He has been raising a ton recently and just bullying everybody around.
    I figured there was a good chance he had a marginal hand when he check-raised me, and floated around with a gut shot. I decided to rep the king or some decent made hand on the river trying to get value from a weaker hand on the river. Good bet or spew?

    Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    saw flop|saw showdown

    SB ($588.25)
    BB ($597.68)
    UTG ($697.14)
    UTG+1 ($470.80)
    MP1 ($594)
    MP2 ($183)
    MP3 ($1270.75)
    Hero ($681.30)
    Button ($578.65)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with J, 8. SB posts a blind of $3.
    5 folds, Hero raises to $18, 1 fold, SB (poster) calls $15, 1 fold.

    Flop: ($42) 3, Q, T (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $30, SB raises to $75, Hero calls $45.

    Turn: ($192) 7 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero checks.

    River: ($192) K (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $150???
    BR now: $106900
    Playing now: $10/10/20 - $20/40 NL live, $10/20 NL full ring online, $10/20 NL 6-max online, $20/40 FL 6-max online, $100/200 FL live
    Goal: $125000 for $25/50 NL live
  2. #2
    dangerous? LOL
  3. #3
    spino1i's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ilikeaces86
    dangerous? LOL
    How many times do you try to bluff someone who check-raised you? Id call that pretty dangerous..
    BR now: $106900
    Playing now: $10/10/20 - $20/40 NL live, $10/20 NL full ring online, $10/20 NL 6-max online, $20/40 FL 6-max online, $100/200 FL live
    Goal: $125000 for $25/50 NL live
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by spino1i
    Quote Originally Posted by ilikeaces86
    dangerous? LOL
    How many times do you try to bluff someone who check-raised you? Id call that pretty dangerous..

    Ok I just found it funny sorry. Ill go back to sleep now.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by spino1i
    Quote Originally Posted by ilikeaces86
    dangerous? LOL
    How many times do you try to bluff someone who check-raised you? Id call that pretty dangerous..
    all the time when they check-raise and give up with a weak marginal hand that they don't want to call down with so instead they play it badly.

    personally I like the flop call and would make it 100% of the time with that gutshot. depending on my image and my opponents ability to call down, I would then bet the turn, or bet the river like you did.

    a dangerous bluff would be like a 3-barrel or check-raising someone all in on the turn with a weak draw
  6. #6
    Betting the turn is probably better.
  7. #7
    Playing this on the turn is best IMO ~

    Mostly because like someone mentioned in the above posts, C/R this flop in most cases represents a marginal hand not willing to call every street to see a SD, so I figure he's evaluating his hand here. Now what's his range from the blinds you didn't mention but elaborate here on what marginal hands he'd be CRing with.

    AQ-KQ-QT-KT ?

    In most cases the river K scares me away, probably made 2 pair am I right?

    ~ Jay G
  8. #8
    spino1i's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by w32e1
    Playing this on the turn is best IMO ~

    Mostly because like someone mentioned in the above posts, C/R this flop in most cases represents a marginal hand not willing to call every street to see a SD, so I figure he's evaluating his hand here. Now what's his range from the blinds you didn't mention but elaborate here on what marginal hands he'd be CRing with.

    AQ-KQ-QT-KT ?

    In most cases the river K scares me away, probably made 2 pair am I right?

    ~ Jay G
    No, he folded.
    BR now: $106900
    Playing now: $10/10/20 - $20/40 NL live, $10/20 NL full ring online, $10/20 NL 6-max online, $20/40 FL 6-max online, $100/200 FL live
    Goal: $125000 for $25/50 NL live

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