Shania hand, raise the river?

[Vrax]

Reads: Raiser (rezilakos) has range QQ+, AK+, gives up missed overs if not heads-up , can't laydown overpairs, slowplays big sets. Bets 1/3-1/2 pot=overpair. Nitty.

I make the call, because I want to bust his overpair or push him off missed overcards by floating on him

Stacks/PFR ratio is about 25.

2nd opponent (GypsyD) is also tight nit,but I don't know if he calls on a draw.

Raise the river?

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Hand #340203002 at table: Table TH Mini
Started: Fri Jun 23 15:54:51 2006

butleruk is at seat 1 with 1.75
GypsyD is at seat 2 with 34.27
mute06 is at seat 3 with 44.90
vinc83 is at seat 4 with 24.31
Kobe24 is at seat 5 with 19.75
rezilakos is at seat 6 with 35.94
truelogic2 is at seat 7 with 18.98
Goofey1 is at seat 8 with 18.77
_Vrax_ is at seat 9 with 36.32
pastL is at seat 10 with 31.42

mute06 posts the large blind 0.25
GypsyD posts the small blind 0.12

GypsyD: --, --
mute06: --, --
vinc83: --, --
Kobe24: --, --
rezilakos: --, --
truelogic2: --, --
Goofey1: --, --
_Vrax_: 5h, 4h
pastL: --, --
butleruk: --, --

Pre-flop:

vinc83: Fold
Kobe24: Fold
rezilakos: Raise 1.50
truelogic2: Fold
Goofey1: Fold
_Vrax_: Call 1.50
pastL: Fold
butleruk: Fold
GypsyD: Call 1.50
mute06: Fold

Flop (Board: 10h, 5s, 3h):

GypsyD: Check
rezilakos: Check
_Vrax_: Bet 4.00
GypsyD: Call 4.00
rezilakos: Fold

Turn (Board: 10h, 5s, 3h, Kc):

GypsyD: Check
_Vrax_: Check

River (Board: 10h, 5s, 3h, Kc, 7h):

GypsyD: Bet 5.00
_Vrax_: Call 5.00

Showdown:

GypsyD shows: 5c, 5d (three of a kind, Fives)
_Vrax_ shows: 5h, 4h (flush to the Ten)

Mainpot:
_Vrax_ wins the pot of 21.65 with flush to the Ten(1.10 rake were taken for this hand)

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[Renton]

I think its a pretty easy value raise. If he's a nit you can be pretty sure he has a set/overpair when he calls a psb on this flop. Since he has to have paired cards, theres no way he can have a flush on the river. Try to get all in.

[Vrax]

Yeah, thx Renton, that's what I was thinking about but pussied out because it's flush not straight and I didn't know if he chases the same flush or slowplays set. After calling my PSB and checking the turn, then betting flushed board so I just called expecting set or better flush. His trickiness costed him only a blocking bet it should cost him a stack. Yeah, I should've raise it.

[andy-akb]

Yea, I agree that this is a simple raise on the river.

On a sidenote though, what does this have to do with metagame?