flush on river

[Werddown]

No read on this guy but he has almost 3x buyins in his stack

***** Hand History for Game 5037436257 *****
$25 NL Texas Hold'em - Sunday, August 27, 00:01:45 ET 2006
Table Table 96237 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: kbart757 ( $15.85 )
Seat 2: Panamanian1 ( $23.80 )
Seat 3: ppblffer ( $4.30 )
Seat 4: gatorpills ( $4.45 )
Seat 6: BradNole83 ( $44.03 )
Seat 7: polecat2003 ( $34.30 )
Seat 8: mp5tKb ( $25 )
Seat 9: OolaTorm ( $57.17 )
Seat 10: PeteChippin ( $13.37 )
Seat 5: werddown ( $25 )
gatorpills posts small blind [$0.10].
werddown posts big blind [$0.25].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to werddown [ Jd 7d ]
BradNole83 folds.
>You have options at Vita Bella Table!.
polecat2003 folds.
OolaTorm calls [$0.25].
PeteChippin folds.
kbart757 folds.
ppblffer folds.
gatorpills calls [$0.15].
werddown checks.
** Dealing Flop ** [ Ad, 6c, 9h ]
>You have options at Table 98649 Table!.
gatorpills checks.
werddown checks.
OolaTorm checks.
** Dealing Turn ** [ 3d ]
gatorpills checks.
werddown checks.
OolaTorm checks.
** Dealing River ** [ Qd ]
gatorpills checks.
>You have options at Table 96913 Table!.
werddown bets [$0.60].
OolaTorm raises [$1.20].

... I raise 2nd nut... how much do i raise? call or fold if he pushes ?

[Blinky]

I'll say this only because I have studied the HH (probably wouldn't pick up on this in the hand on-the-fly though.

1. Opp limped preflop from MP. For a flush to make sense, this would be a SC (or gapper) or a KdXd.

2. We know where Ad, Qd, Jd, 7d and 3d are.

3. I think opp bets somewhere (probably the turn) if he holds 9d... this reduces the chances of any holding with 9d and hence mid SCs short of Td8d. I discount weak SCs in this case. The same probably holds true of 6Xd.

4. Td8d would likely bet the turn (GSSD + FD)

5. You are probably against a suited king.... I call the minraise. Raising here gets re-reraised by a king and folded to vs anything other than a weaker flush. If he's on an outright bluff he would raise stronger.

-------

This is based on getting burned on more than a few rivers where I've gotten greedy before... but ymmv.

[BobbySalami]

I think your leaving value on the table if you dont raise in this spot. His line could make sense for a lot of hands, not just KdXd....altough with no reads it is hard for us to put him on range of hands.

I think I raise to $4 and see what happens....if he pushes I might have to lay it down....but if he raises anything reasonalbe to say $10-12 then I think im calling. But that min-raise doesnt look like a scary K high flush to me.

[freechus9]

I raise the shit out of that river and get the baby flush to push.