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Sizing a nut-raise on the turn - how much?

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  1. #1

    Default Sizing a nut-raise on the turn - how much?

    Hold'em NL ($0.50/$1) Ring game

    Seat 1: MP2 ($134.50 in chips)
    Seat 2: CO ($79.25 in chips)
    Seat 3: Button ($87.75 in chips)
    Seat 4: SB ($101 in chips)
    Seat 5: Hero ($155.75 in chips) (BB)
    Seat 6: UTG ($48.40 in chips)
    Seat 7: UTG+1 ($56.50 in chips)
    Seat 8: sits out
    Seat 9: UTG+2($40.50 in chips)
    Seat 10: MP1 ($55.25 in chips)

    SB: posts small blind $0.50
    Hero: posts big blind $1

    dealt to Hero

    UTG: folds
    UTG+1: calls $1
    UTG+2: calls $1
    MP1: folds
    MP2: calls $1
    CO: calls $1
    Button: folds
    SB: calls $0.50
    Hero: checks

    ----- FLOP ----- :Jd:

    SB: checks
    Hero: checks
    UTG+1: checks
    UTG+2: checks
    MP2: checks
    CO: bets $6
    SB: calls $6
    Hero: calls $6
    3 folds

    ----- TURN -----

    SB: checks
    Hero: checks
    CO: bets $10
    SB: calls $10
    Hero: ?

    No good reads. I think I should raise here, but how much? Push and hope someone holds a T? What do they hold?
    'Well, obviously, this is not meant to be taken literally. It refers to any manufacturers of dairy products.'
  2. #2
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    I make it 40, since anything less gives good implied odds.
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  3. #3
    AHiltz's Avatar
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    You can also lead the flop and conceal the draw as a possibility. As played, pot sized would be $54, so make it $45-55.
  4. #4
    i like to push here. that way i dont have to think on the river, many scare cards can come. and a set might call, a T will call, flush draw might call as well.. i also like to reraise (minraise) the flop to juice it up a bit.
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  5. #5
    nutsinho's Avatar
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    flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
    I pretty much always bet the flop here, and on the turn I may just push because if I raise to like 40 and the bettor calls with his T, the caller has good enough odds to call with his FD
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  6. #6
    Miffed22001's Avatar
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    raise to 50 o so, no one with a ten is folding and will stack off on any flush free river imo, which leaves only a few cards to kill all your action. If they dont have a ten then meh unlucky.
  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by Miffed22001
    raise to 50 o so, no one with a ten is folding and will stack off on any flush free river imo, which leaves only a few cards to kill all your action. If they dont have a ten then meh unlucky.
    '

    So, bet 40-50 to try to pot commit a set for instance? Do you think a set will fold to a push here? I fell that a push will result in two folds and that I need to get more money in the pot with a smaller bet, but at the same there are many cards I fear on the river.

    Anyone qualified who could analyse in some detail why a push or a smaller bet is better here?
    'Well, obviously, this is not meant to be taken literally. It refers to any manufacturers of dairy products.'
  8. #8
    Pot it. You want calls but not correct ones.

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