zook's Picks: NFL Week 10

[zook]

Not seeing a ton that I like atm, this is all I have right now:

S.D. -2 vs. CIN (-104) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
The line went down to -1 since I placed this, but I'm not confident enough to place another unit. Thinking about it.

N.O. M/L (+187) vs. PIT - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
I like this bet, might up it another unit.

Considering Giants -1 vs. Bears, KC -1 vs. Miami, and Jets +10.5 vs. Pats...

[zook]

Ok, I looked over some stats and pulled the trigger on:

NYJ +10.5 vs. NE (-103) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
I just think this line's way too high, given that a) the Jets are coming off a bye, b) New England lost Rodney Harrison, and c) a win by the Jets puts them only a game back in the AFC East. I even think there's a chance the Jets pull it out, so I placed this too:

NYJ ML (+520) vs. NE - 1/2 unit @ Pinnacle

KC -1 vs. MIA (+101) - 1 unit @ Pinnacle
The Chiefs have been on fire recently and Miami is primed for a letdown.

[zook]

New Orleans line went to +4.5 and ML went to +205... hmm... decided to put a unit on the spread, might put another unit on the ML still.

N.O. +4.5 vs. PIT (+103) - 1 units @ Pinnacle

[ensign_lee]

I'd say NO was a trap, but the books haven't had the best track record taking favorites lately.

I'd watch out on that KC game, though. ~75% of the public on KC at -2 and the line moves DOWN?!?!

[zook]

Yeah, I hear you... I'm not scalping them out, but I probably won't add any more units either. Thanks for the input.

[zook]

Lee, you were right about the KC and NO games, although both teams had their chances. Luckily the Jets bailed me out today. Wish I had been confident enough to put a whole unit on the ML.

+1.5 units on the day

YTD Record Update:

Straight wagers: 11-7
2-team teasers: 7-1
3-team teasers: 0-3

+18.5 units