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5 handed. bet 3xBB with KQo. reraised allin. what to do?
I just finished playing in a £30+3 live freezeout. 16 runners. We're down to the last 5 and top 3 get paid.
my stack is 7000 chips. the short stack at the table has approx. 3000 chips. 2 players have about 15k each and the last player has about 8000 chips.
the blinds are at 300/600.
the table is quite tight.
i get dealt KQo UTG. I raise to 1800. the 8k stack folds. a 15k stack on the button moves allin. the other 2 players fold.
what do i do? the pot contains 4500+5200=9700 and i need to put in 5200. i need a 34.9% chance of winning to call.
i decided to call. hoping he had low pockets (ie. 66) or a hand like AJ.
he actually had AA. i lost the hand.
i think his range was probably very high. maybe TT+ and AQ+. with this range i should definitely fold. the only hands i'm happy to be up against are TT and JJ, but against all the rest i'm a dog.
i think if he had a hand like 99 or AJ he would have just flat called. probably even with AQs.
also, the table was quite tight i think i could have built myself up without the need to put all my chips at risk. i had come back from being a very short stack to a medium stack. i was stealing blinds a few pots and was in quite a comfortable position.
what do you think i should have done in the hand? now that i've gone through all this analysis i think i should have folded. but at the time, i just didn't think through the hand this deeply and i was thinking maybe he could have pocket 6s - so i need to call. but now i realize that he must have had a big hand. and with KQ i'm a dog against any big hand.
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