Value bet this river?

[Harry]

39/2/2.2 - reasoning for/against a value bet on this river? If for, what amount?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $58.85
CO: $189
Button: $269.70
Hero: $250.85
BB: $166.90

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is SB with 9 9
3 folds, Hero raises to $6, BB calls.

Flop: 6 J 9 ($12, 2 players)
Hero bets $8, BB calls.

Turn: Q ($28, 2 players)
Hero bets $20, BB calls.

River: A ($68, 2 players)

edit: added stacks

[Renton]

yup

[silu73]

Would be nice to see stack sizes but I would bet 40 but not quite sure if I would call a push if both are deep.

[sauce123]

I'm gonna say 30-60 depending on villain's history folding to a push almost always. 45 seems good. Not Vbetting in spots like these would be a veeery big hole in your game.

This is an incredibly easy Vbet by the way, specially against this villain thought its of course not out of the question that he floated flop, picked up a diamond draw and hit or that he called with KT and slowplayed. Whatever, that's the top 5 or 10% of his range and I think against most villains with these stats any ace, 2pair pays you off and I wouldn't be surprised to get paid by like J4 soooooted or something. Sauce.

[Alexos]

You pretty much HAVE to value bet there. 45 I like. Fold to a push.

[Genitruc]

Bet 45 and puke if he pushes.

Reasons : your hand is best a large majority of the time, he's not superaggro (unlikely to raise you unless you're beat)

[lolzzz_321]

vb, 44, and hope no JK DIAMONDS

[jackvance]

There was no flush draw on the flop, he might've called with a straight draw, but most likely some sort of made hand. If you check you're hoping he'll try to bet you off the pot on a scary board, that or he'll have to have backed into the A because if he has some medium strength hand (which is most likely) he's gonna take the free showdown. It kinda sucks to bet though because he's probably not calling, river A forfeits most of his one pair hands.. but if he has you beat he's raising so you can safely fold then.