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Football/Soccer

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  1. 03-08-2007 03:42 PM #1
    baron_greenback
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    Default Football/Soccer

    Hey, I'm from the Uk, and am a regular soccer gambler. I've had a few articles and tips published by sports betting sites and magazines over the last few years.

    I've noticed that there isn't very much devoted to european soccer here, so I thought I'd post up a thread with a few picks.

    So, kicking off with the Uefa Cup

    Rangers vs Osasuna @1.90
    Rangers have an imperious home record, and Osasuna are indifferent away from hiome in their respective domestic leagues. Rangers have also managed to excell themselves in the Uefa Cup this campaign, and last time out beat Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-0 at Ibrox. Osasuna meanwhile needed an injury time goal to beat a horrific Bordeaux side. Add to this, the fact that Osasuna are missing 8 first team regualrs, including both first choice strikers, and it all points to a home win.

    Newcastle vs AZ Alkmaar @2.10

    Alkmaar qaulified for this stage with an up and down tie against Fenerbahce of Turkey. The Turks were 3-1 up at home before Alkmaar scored twice late on to tie the game at 3-3. They then went 2-0 up at home, only to be pegged back to 2-2, and qualify on away goals. Newcastle meanwhile blitzed past mediocre Belgian opposition Zulke Wagerem, and are unbeaten in the competion so far (including a 1-0 victory over Fenerbahce) The English sides home record in the Premierhsip is outstanding, and they'll be looking for their 50,000 strong support to help them to gain an early advantage in the tie.

    In the first leg of the Champions League matches 5/8 games ended in draws. I expect other games tonight to be very tight, especially

    Paris vs Benfica @3.00
    Celta Vigo vs Werder Bremen @3.25
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  2. 03-08-2007 03:56 PM #2
    Monty9
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    Always take the UNDER........
    Why is it a penny for your thoughts but
    you have to put your 2 cents in??

    Somebody's making a penny!!
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  3. 03-08-2007 04:28 PM #3
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    Seasider
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    Football -


    Soccer -


    At least round these parts.

    Newcastle had a good first few mins, your bet is looking good.
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  4. 03-08-2007 04:58 PM #4
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    ensign_lee
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    Welcome!

    I'm curious to learn about soccer strategies, as I've never bet on that stuff before ever. What do you take into account?

    Get your own starcraft 2 signature at sc2sig.com
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  5. 03-08-2007 05:30 PM #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by ensign_lee
    Welcome!

    I'm curious to learn about soccer strategies, as I've never bet on that stuff before ever. What do you take into account?
    The first half can be quite tricky if you're pitching against the mound.
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  6. 03-08-2007 05:49 PM #6
    baron_greenback
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    Quote Originally Posted by ensign_lee
    Welcome!

    I'm curious to learn about soccer strategies, as I've never bet on that stuff before ever. What do you take into account?
    First tip - don't listen to me - only 1/4 tonight

    I'm not too dis-heartened though, and will be posing up some more (mostly domestic) tips over the next few weeks. There is a lot of value in soccer matches, its just a case of trying to work out which facts are best to take into account for a particular side.
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  7. 03-08-2007 06:04 PM #7
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    Seasider
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    My brother has broken even betting on football over the last year. He recons the value in in division 2-3 matches tho......
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  8. 03-08-2007 06:42 PM #8
    baron_greenback
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seasider
    My brother has broken even betting on football over the last year. He recons the value in in division 2-3 matches tho......
    I do reasonably well, but sometimes I try to bet on too many games/markets.

    Often in the lower leagues there are sides who win almost every game, and sides who lose every game (especially in Scotland) which can make for value.
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  9. 03-09-2007 03:49 PM #9
    baron_greenback
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    Birmingham vs Derby - 2.10

    Big bet of the weekend is Celtic vs Rangers @2.00 on Sunday. I'll do a proper write up later.

    edited - spelling
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  10. 03-10-2007 01:14 PM #10
    baron_greenback
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    Barca vs Real Madrid - 1.8

    This game is massive at any time, but especially so tonight. Both clubs went out of the Champions League during the weekend - before the quarter finals - which is unthinkable for their supporters. With Sevilla top of La Liga, it's vital that Barca win and get put them under pressure.

    The Champions have a 10-2-0 record at home, and have only conceded 5 goals in 12 games. Real madrid, by contrast concede an average of a goal a game, and are missing world player of the year Fabio Cannavaro in defence. The back-ups aren't good enough to contain Ronaldinho, Eto'o and Messi the way Liverpool did, and I think it'll be Barca back at the top of the table by the end of the day.
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  11. 03-10-2007 01:46 PM #11
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    Legendash
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    Can you explain your notation. I live in the UK but don't gamble much and am used to seeing

    Celtic win 1/3, rangers win 3/1, draw 7/2
    or whatever the odds may be
    "[This theory] is only useful for helping to calculate your luck odds. If you have a good read that you have a numerical advantage against your opponent, that your hand is "luckier"..."

    Copyright, Youngdro 2007.
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  12. 03-10-2007 03:45 PM #12
    baron_greenback
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    Quote Originally Posted by Legendash
    Can you explain your notation. I live in the UK but don't gamble much and am used to seeing

    Celtic win 1/3, rangers win 3/1, draw 7/2
    or whatever the odds may be
    It's basically just decimal odds.

    3/1 = 4.00
    4/5 = 1.8

    Basically you multiply the decimal odds by your stake to get potential returns.

    So tonight if I bet £100 on [email protected], I'll get 1.8 x £100 = £180 back, a profit of £80
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