T9s vs Stars Reg

[elipsesjeff]

Villain is GamblerNCH, I have him as 24/14/3 over 3k hands. I have hi with a flop agg of 5 and turn and river as less than 1.5 with a cold call % of .8. We have a fairly nitty history against each other.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG ($72.95)
Hero ($106.75)
CO ($95)
Button ($98.50)
SB ($115.90)
BB ($85.20)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9, T.
1 fold, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, Button calls $4, SB calls $3.50, 1 fold.

Flop: ($13) 6, 6, 9 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $8, Button calls $8, SB folds.

Turn: ($29) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $17, Hero calls $17.

River: ($63) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $69.5 (All-In), Hero folds.

Final Pot: $132.50

[Galapogos]

This looks like a "please think I'm bluffing" push.

[griffey24]

Yah, I think this is a good fold. I think sometimes this is missed diamonds, but you have to be good here pretty often to be right.

What about a river blocking bet?

[sauce123]

I would probably just lead out the turn. Hes floating sometimes, hes drawing a lot, you might get him to fold JT, QT and if you get called u can just assume its a badly played 6 and checkfold the river or he hit a goofy boat somewhere.

[Numbr2intheWorld]

Looks like some kind of PP that probably turned set on the turn or river. Although i've played with this guy and i'm pretty sure he's capable of bluffing here.

[biondino]

I am CERTAIN this isn't a bluff. I am a 24/14/3 (though I bet far more than this guy on the river) and there are straights, boats and trips possible, all of whom might call the river bet. It's never a bluff.

[IowaSkinsFan]

I'm probably inclined to check the turn too but i think sauce is right to lead out. As played fold riv, i never see this guy bluff.

[Genitruc]

pretty sure you're only losing to :

-8d10d
-6666
-99966

So I'd check-call river here if I were you. Your hand is probably stronger than he thinks. I'd doubt he's shoving a better 10 on river.

[elipsesjeff]

pretty sure you're only losing to :

-8d10d
-6666
-99966

So I'd check-call river here if I were you. Your hand is probably stronger than he thinks. I'd doubt he's shoving a better 10 on river.

You're leaving out 33 and 77 here, as possible cold callable hands in his range are probably any pocket pair and ATs and AJs that calls the flop cbet. I think he raises the FD here sometimes enough to take his range closer to a PP.

[Genitruc]

pretty sure you're only losing to :

-8d10d
-6666
-99966

So I'd check-call river here if I were you. Your hand is probably stronger than he thinks. I'd doubt he's shoving a better 10 on river.

You're leaving out 33 and 77 here, as possible cold callable hands in his range are probably any pocket pair and ATs and AJs that calls the flop cbet. I think he raises the FD here sometimes enough to take his range closer to a PP.

Yeah you're def right about the 2-outer possibility.

[Fnord]

Is the flop a 100% bet here?

[JL]

Is the flop a 100% bet here?

I like to check this type of flop versus this type of villain.

[Renton]

i bet the turn and c/c the river mostly as played fold. Betting the turn avoids this spot and protects your hand better.

[elipsesjeff]

Is the flop a 100% bet here?

checking the flop 3 handed OOP? Are we raising at any point?

I guess that is the difficulty of playing these suited connectors from OOP. I checked the turn thinking that villain was most likely floating me and I'd get more value if he'd bet. I didn't even see/recognize the flush draw out there until after the hand was over so missed draw was really in my mind. Also, 67s might be in his range here too