QQ preflop vs LAG

[|~|ypermegachi]

villain isn't very good....well, i don't think he is. he called down with 66 as an underpair vs 2 3/4 sized barrels. he's 30/14 over small sample. i didn't have a read on SB at the time, but his CC scared me a bit.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($100)
UTG ($142.65)
MP ($186.85)
Hero ($102.15)
Button ($100)
SB ($102.60)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q, Q.
UTG raises to $3, 1 fold, Hero raises to $8, 1 fold, SB calls $7.50, 1 fold, UTG raises to $25, Hero ...

[sauce123]

i think thsi is supposed to be a fold but i always call here

[Vi-Zer0Skill]

even a very aggro LAGG probably has a pretty tight 4bet range, particularly at 100NL. Assuming Q-Q+, A-K...

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

49,656,816 games 0.005 secs 9,931,363,200 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.207% 38.35% 01.86% 19042240 923339.00 { QhQs }
Hand 1: 59.793% 57.93% 01.86% 28767898 923339.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }


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His 4bet range would have to include J-J and air a pretty large % of the time to make calling here +EV. I threw the A-xs and the SC for "air" hands.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

73,629,072 games 0.005 secs 14,725,814,400 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 52.170% 50.85% 01.32% 37440964 971452.00 { QhQs }
Hand 1: 47.830% 46.51% 01.32% 34245204 971452.00 { JJ+, AKs, A7s, 87s, AKo }

(btw, "air" would have to make up about 40% of his range to get your equity to 60%)

And even then you aren't solidly ahead. It's not as though he is trying to isolate a shortstack. Plus his raise says he isn't afraid of SB's CC, which would certainly concern me. I say this is a fold, without reads.