What bet size on the river?

[LordVTR]

Been at the table an hour, I have been TAGG throughout, and only gone to showdown with good hands or picked up the pot on flop with C/bets. Villain has also been TAGG, winning a few big pots with strong hands against fish playing with TPTK type hands.

Villain min raises from UTG. Last time he did this he showed down AA, so I'm suspecting he has a high PP. What is the best size of bet on the river here? I'm pretty sure he has an overpair to the board, but suspect he is smart enough to lay it down to a push here. Thoughts? Also any other comments on how I played the hand would be welcome.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($25)
UTG ($52.70)
UTG+1 ($45.55)
MP1 ($24.30)
MP2 ($17.35)
MP3 ($20.80)
CO ($11.40)
Button ($14.90)
Hero ($32.30)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 9, 9.
UTG raises to $0.5, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.50, 2 folds, Button calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.40, BB calls $0.25.

Flop: ($2.50) 9, 5, 8 (5 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets $2, MP2 folds, Button folds, Hero calls $2, BB folds.

Turn: ($6.50) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $2, Hero raises to $6.75, UTG calls $4.75.

River: ($20) 3 (2 players)

Hero???

[Vi-Zer0Skill]

check raising the flop is much better than check raising the turn in this spot IMO
1). Turn and River bets can be sized bigger, making it easier to get the money AI
2). your hand actually looks less like a set if you c/r flop. Most opponents, particularly at lower limits, will slowplay the flop with a set -- don't play your hand in a way your opponents will recognize!

I think something ~$13 will get called enough. If you want to make it bigger than that i would suggest a push.

[bode]

lead flop some, c/r flop is better that turn here. Either of those lines will get more money in so the river has a ~PSB left. As played value bet $14ish some, push some.