combo draw, nice. i'll bet it...oops!

[benny999]

it was late and i wasn't thinking enough here...but now i def think reraising preflop is best.

mostly wondering ur thoughts on checking the flop, and as played, calling the c/r, since now im thinking those are better than what i did.

reads - button is loose-passive and utg is a good lag. sb is a tag multitabler.

Ultimate Bet
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $3./$6.
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $731.20
Hero: $1837.65
CO: $309.85
Button: $854.40
SB: $904.90
BB: $432

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG+1 with Q A
UTG raises to $21, Hero calls, CO folds, Button calls, SB calls, BB folds.

Flop: 5 2 3 ($90, 4 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $66, Button folds, SB raises to $259.5, UTG folds, Hero raises to $934.5

[IowaSkinsFan]

i probably muck to the raise actually.

But yeah, I think checking is by far the best option on this flop given that most on it are somewhat deep and because your lead shows massive strength.

[benny999]

really muck to the raise? i have some implied odds vs a set, though a 4 could be bad if he has 76dd.

[silu73]

I would just check behind on the flop. And also aren't you a little bit too deep to push with a combo draw here?

[benny999]

I would just check behind on the flop. And also aren't you a little bit too deep to push with a combo draw here?

being deep, ur saying it's better to just call for implied odds?

but ya i don't think he's going to fold if i push, and betting in the first place wasn't worth it.

[IowaSkinsFan]

really muck to the raise? i have some implied odds vs a set, though a 4 could be bad if he has 76dd.

Yeah nvm this is how i play it if i bet, i 3bet shove like you. But i like a check better.

[silu73]

I would just check behind on the flop. And also aren't you a little bit too deep to push with a combo draw here?

being deep, ur saying it's better to just call for implied odds?

but ya i don't think he's going to fold if i push, and betting in the first place wasn't worth it.

I am not very good in expressing poker theory but with so many players in the hand and a loose passive button to follow I take my free card. I don't think that SB would be folding a lot here on this board and as played given that I have position I would just call.

[Vi-Zer0Skill]

According to the range i gave villain after his flop c/r, Hero is slightly better than a 2:1 underdog. With $400 or so in the pot after the c/r and $1800 in money in the pot after Hero shoved, shoving would then be -EV - assuming no F.E.

I think villain may fold two pair a good percentage of the time, since Hero could possibly have a set given the way he has played the hand. But even if villain folds two pair 75% of the time, he is only folding about 1/4 of his range to a shove. At best the play is 0EV imo.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

43,560 games 0.005 secs 8,712,000 games/sec

Board: 5d 2d 3c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 36.519% 35.02% 01.50% 15256 651.50 { AdQd }
Hand 1: 63.481% 61.99% 01.50% 27001 651.50 { 55, 33-22, A4s, 64s, 53s-52s, 32s, A4o, 64o }



I still think betting the flop is +EV because you are ahead of any one opponents opening/calling range PF, but once you get c/r'ed by the SB - and given the depth of the stacks - a fold seems best.

[benny999]

thanks for your analysis VZS, but i have a couple disagreements.

-im not too confident a 6-tabling tag would call with a 53s type hand pre, but maybe.

-i think checking the flop is more +ev, given that getting raised sucks, and a diamond on the turn lets me win the same or bigger size pot.

[Alexos]

c/c> bet/shove > b/f

Getting raised is so terrible here, effective stacks around 150BB and all...

And VZS I disagree with the range too, the 53s is arguable but I'd also add some flush draws and gutshot straight flush draws, however it doesnt change the equity much anyways...

[Fnord]

Would the SB play 88, 99 or TT like this? How about a worse flush draw?

150bb hurts, but I can't see how we can do anything here but GAMB00L

[Vi-Zer0Skill]

c/c> bet/shove > b/f

Getting raised is so terrible here, effective stacks around 150BB and all...

And VZS I disagree with the range too, the 53s is arguable but I'd also add some flush draws and gutshot straight flush draws, however it doesnt change the equity much anyways...

I certainly am not going to disagree with your statement here, since i am unable to prove bet/fold is the best option when compared to c/c or bet/shove. But if you see this would you briefly explain what factors make the other two options better?

And yeah you and Benny are right that the small cards, though suited, are still probably too weak for a multitabling TAG to want to play them.

[benny999]

i think since he most likely has a set (maybe str8) here or a combo draw like 76dd or maybe K4dd.
from what ive seen of him he would just fold with a weak overpair when i lead there into 4 people, but maybe peel or raise with a str8 draw with it.

of the raising hands, sets arent likely paying for more than a psb or so, and both types of hands will prob push the turn if i just call the flop.

but folding isnt great either at this point since i have 30-40% equity and the pots pretty big.

[sauce123]

i would play it the exact same as you benny (tho i might raise pre) and im def not sure if its correct