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Common steal against blinds situation
Get a nice hand in late position and raise it up, reraised by a pretty tight guy (stats 20/15/1.90, 22% went to SD, 38% W$@SD over a fairly small sample). Villain hasn't gotten out of line, my image is a big aggressive. Once he calls my 4bet, I put his range at JJ+, AK and perhaps AQ.
Starting stacks are 120BB, and the pot is sitting at $30, with $55 left to bet. What should my line be when he probably has me on a similar range? It seems like I will only get action from QQ and KK on this board if I bet, but if I check, how often will JJ or AK take a stab or call a bet later on? Obviously I'm not too worried about free cards since no overcards can come that beat my aces.
Given how this guy has played so far, I highly doubt he is on a hand like KQ, JTs or 88.
Now what if we have KK in the same situation, instead of AA?
Cryptologic - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)
SB: $71.60
BB: $73.50
UTG: $60.80
MP: $50.75
CO: $38.10
Hero (BTN): $97.40
Preflop: Hero is dealt A A (6 Players)
3 folds, Hero raises to $2.00, SB raises to $6.00, BB folds, Hero raises to $15.00, SB calls $9.00
Flop: ($30.50) Q 8 3 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero...?
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