interesting spot, many options.

[Numbr2intheWorld]

MP has Tight TAGG stats over 30 hands. CO seems like a donk. I was actually going to squeeze here but since i'm still getting used to FullTilt software i screwed up and called.

MP tanked before checking, which made me think that he had an overpair. CO probably has a draw, 9x, or trip tens or better. I'm pretty sure MP will not c/r his overpair if i call.

So what do i do? And do you agree with the ranges?



Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
CO ($427.30)
Hero ($189)
SB ($247.90)
BB ($216.45)
UTG ($132)
MP ($200)

Preflop: Hero is Button with T, K.
1 fold, MP raises to $7, CO calls $7, Hero calls $7, 2 folds.

Flop: ($24) T, 6, 9 (3 players)
MP bets $18, CO calls $18, Hero calls $18.

Turn: ($78) T (3 players)
MP checks, CO bets $36, [color=#CC3333]Hero?????

[IowaSkinsFan]

hmmmm.
I think CO has a ten or a 9 around 85% of the time. I really don't think he has a draw given his bet size, it would make no sense.

That being said i'm very very tempted to just call CO's bet and hope because of such a weak bet size MP will come over the top. But since you think MP won't come over the top I think the best move is raise essentially all in. MP's not folding a T and you'd be really lucky to get any more value from 9. Ofc this is also the best way to get value out of a draw.

[|~|ypermegachi]

i vote for call and go from there. we don't wanna blow everyone outta the pot just yet...

[Silly String]

I think ^^^ is playing with fire. A bunch of river cards really suxors here and we have to shut down to aggression. If we call, we may get an additional $36 from MP, but if the river blanks we lose all value from the donk's FD. We also probably lose value from MP's overpair, because he can't call a river bet unless we give him super odds.
I raise and get value from the donk. Forget MP the TAG.

[|~|ypermegachi]

raising removes any possibility of getting value from a bluff on the river from either player if the flush hits. now i'm not sure how likely either will bluff, it's really dependent on your read at the time.