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He pretty much HAS to have AK here doesn't he?

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  1. #1
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    Default He pretty much HAS to have AK here doesn't he?

    Villan is 29/9 over 75 hands
    I've been running an amazingly aggressive 22/21 over 90 hands with a TAF of 13.5 I've been flat running over the table. When this hand came up

    Maybe relevant, maybe not. We've both been floating eachother to the turn where we trade aggression and steal the pot from the other. He's done it to me 3 times, I've done it to him once

    I guess my Q is, this seems like one of those places where I'd just call because he shouldn't be betting this board because anything I call with beats him. Meaning he has to have a strong hand to bet out here. IE is the shove spew? Or am I making a really good read, and punishing AK for catching up?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    Button ($4.55)
    SB ($11.20)
    Hero ($16.35)
    UTG ($17.60)
    MP ($12.40)
    CO ($9.45)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, K.
    1 fold, MP raises to $0.5, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.40.

    Flop: ($1.05) 2, Q, 8 (2 players)
    Hero checks, MP checks.

    Turn: ($1.05) 6 (2 players)
    Hero bets $1, MP calls $1.

    River: ($3.05) K (2 players)
    Hero bets $2.1, MP raises to $5.6, Hero raises to $14.85, MP folds.

    Final Pot: $14.25
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  2. #2
    um what? 10nl, you have top two you come over the top for value. pretty standard how would this be spew.
  3. #3
    will641's Avatar
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    yes this is nowhere close to spew. this is the opposite of spew. even if he shows up with a set its not spew, you just got unlucky. either way this is fine.
    Cash Rules Everything Around Me.
  4. #4
    gabe's Avatar
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    he did not have AK, he was bluffing his missed draw
  5. #5
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    so you think he had 9T here gabe?
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  6. #6
    you shouldnt show results, obv he didnt have AK once you show that he folds.
  7. #7
    dont even think about ever playing tricky below 400nl. theres no ALMOST no purpose.

    at 10nl ... its just silly to try to do so. if he's being an idiot, start betting weaker hands for value.

    DONT EVER CHECK THIS FLOP VS A SPEWY PLAYER! IT LOOKS LIKE GOLD FOR HIM TO CHECKRAISE!!!!!
  8. #8
    if he has AK he is shoving to your raise on river.
    Quote Originally Posted by mrhappy333
    I didn't think its Bold to bang some chick with my bro. but i guess so... thats +EV in my book.

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