2/4 4444 river raise sizing

[aka_red]

villain is 22/15 no relevant history but he has 1 star for vip status

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($321.20)
Button ($400)
SB ($397.50)
BB ($49)
UTG ($608.30)
UTG+1 ($348.15)
MP1 ($469.90)
Hero (MP2) ($958.30)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 4, 4
UTG calls $4, 2 folds, Hero calls $4, 2 folds, SB calls $2, BB checks

Flop: ($16) 7, 4, 3 (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG bets $12, Hero raises to $44, 2 folds, UTG calls $32

Turn: ($104) 5 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $52, UTG calls $52

River: ($208) 4 (2 players)
UTG bets $72, Hero raises to ...

[elipsesjeff]

Overshove, if he's calling a raise to 250 I think there is almost as good of a chance he'll call an AI, given I dont think he's calling a raise without a boat anyway.

[badgers]

allll of them

[bikes]

I like $185ish to try and get value from some stupid overpair that he wont call a shove with.

If he has a straight or a boat we're getting all his money either by shoving or raising.

[mcatdog]

Shoving is not good here. I think a lot of players could lay down a straight to a shove but never if you just make it like $250 or so. Also there's a possibility of a hero call from something dumb.

I think a couple of underboats might call a shove but just call a raise to $250 but they might still shove and that's a small part of his range anyway.

[bigspenda73]

doesn't he always have a full house here?

[Deanglow]

I'd go $212; there's a good chance he 3bet shoves a straight here