Strange hand v. loose passive

[donnybaker]

Vill is 65/30/1.3/84. I have a note on him that sez "donkbets weak w/weak"

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

saw flop|saw showdown

MP ($195.20)
Hero ($151.45)
Button ($98.50)
SB ($106.90)
BB ($115.35)
UTG ($100)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J, Q.
1 fold, MP calls $1, Hero raises to $5, 3 folds, MP calls $4.

Flop: ($11.50) T, 8, J (2 players)
MP bets $2, Hero raises to $9, MP calls $7.

Turn: ($29.50) 2 (2 players)
MP bets $9, Hero calls $9.

River: ($47.50) T (2 players)
MP bets $40, Hero ...

How often do we see a T here and how often a busted FD? What's with the sudden strength on the river?

[Deanglow]

Well with your read I guess this is a call.

[Fnord]

Bigger flop raise.
Value raise the turn too.

[will641]

Bigger flop raise.
Value raise the turn too.

^^^^this, and as played fold.

[Fnord]

I don't think the river is an easy fold. This guy seems pretty erratic and no stranger to aggression.

[will641]

well we beat J8, J9,89, and missed draws, which there are plenty of. in my experience betting 2 streets like a pussy, then going like 4/5 pot is normally strong. normally with their weak hands they bet like $12 again.

[Juked07]

I'm not sure I understand why the river can be a call. What are we expecting to beat? Shouldn't this be a T more often than FD?

[donnybaker]

Thanks for the advice guys. I think raising the turn here would really be the right play. Calling the turn created the tough spot on the river.

The bet seemed really fishy to me so I looked him up. He had 8s3s for overplayed bottom pair turned into a bluff. The call felt really spewy though.

Does pot control apply at all on the turn? At the time I just wanted to get to showdown and was planning on calling a non-scary river card.

[EzDuzIt]

Bigger flop raise.
Value raise the turn too.

this and call river as played, we should be good enough of the time with so many draws that missed.