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25nl - bluff or value?

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  1. #1
    grnydrowave2's Avatar
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    Default 25nl - bluff or value?

    Villain is 69/46/4.7. No reads.

    $0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
    9 players

    Stacks:
    UTG $18.15
    Villain $13.15
    MP1 $4.65
    MP2 $26.65
    MP3 $23.35
    CO $43.40
    Hero $28.90
    SB $24.75
    BB $17.65

    Pre-flop: ($0.35, 9 players) Hero is BTN
    1 fold, Villain calls $0.25, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, Villain raises to $2.75, MP3 folds, Hero calls $1.25

    Flop: ($6.10, 2 players)
    Villain bets $0.75, Hero shoves.

    1) What is villain's calling range?

    2) Is our shove a value bet or a bluff?

    3) Suppose we take the following line instead:

    Flop: ($6.10, 2 players)
    Villain bets $0.75, Hero calls $0.75

    Turn: ($7.60, 2 players)
    Villain bets $0.75, Hero calls $0.75

    River: ($9.10, 2 players)
    Villain bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

    Is this better or worse? Please state your reasoning, or suggest an alternative play if you are so inclined. I'm aware that preflop may be questionable, but I'm more interested in postflop.

    Thanks.
    <SrslySirius> Hal Lubarsky, my nemesis.
    <SaltLick> are you seriously losing to a blind guy
  2. #2
    Galapogos's Avatar
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    Why not raise smaller on the flop and entice him to call? Your hand's not a bluff when you do this but you do a good job of enticing him not to call you.

    I also 4-bet pre against him. I know you don't care about pre but it sets you up for one hell of an easy post flop.


    Quote Originally Posted by sauce123
    I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
  3. #3
    grnydrowave2's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Galapogos
    Why not raise smaller on the flop and entice him to call? Your hand's not a bluff when you do this but you do a good job of enticing him not to call you.
    That sounds like a contradictory statement. At any rate, if you do this, what part of his range is he not folding?
    <SrslySirius> Hal Lubarsky, my nemesis.
    <SaltLick> are you seriously losing to a blind guy
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by grnydrowave2
    At any rate, if you do this, what part of his range is he not folding?
    Quote Originally Posted by grnydrowave2
    Villain is 69/46/4.7
    Villain is not folding a ton of hands here:
    Any pair, FDs etc...
    If he's the type of 64/46 that I am used to, then he is also calling here with gutshots, any Ace, and sometimes two over cards like KQ if he's super donkish postflop.
  5. #5
    Man against this guy shoving preflop is never bad here
  6. #6
    Galapogos's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by grnydrowave2
    Quote Originally Posted by Galapogos
    Why not raise smaller on the flop and entice him to call? Your hand's not a bluff when you do this but you do a good job of enticing him not to call you.
    That sounds like a contradictory statement. At any rate, if you do this, what part of his range is he not folding?
    Sorry, I meant your push convinces him not to call, not the small bet. And I used the word entice too much.


    Quote Originally Posted by sauce123
    I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
  7. #7
    bode's Avatar
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    full ring forum? def raise the flop to like $5.
    eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
  8. #8
    grnydrowave2's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bode
    full ring forum? def raise the flop to like $5.
    Oops, sorry. I'm used to posting in this forum, as I don't play full ring.
    <SrslySirius> Hal Lubarsky, my nemesis.
    <SaltLick> are you seriously losing to a blind guy
  9. #9
    You really need reads to do this for value. Some kind of reads that he'd stack off with overs or something like that.

    Otherwise, I think I'd much prefer the call down line or some kind of donkish small raise on the flop to induce him to shove over with worse over cards like AK/all draws etc etc.

    As played, even a donk might find a fold with overcards facing a shove here.
  10. #10
    preflop is key, im allin vs him. hate the call.
    Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
  11. #11
    grnydrowave2's Avatar
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    For the sake of argument, let's pretend that the call preflop was a misclick.
    <SrslySirius> Hal Lubarsky, my nemesis.
    <SaltLick> are you seriously losing to a blind guy
  12. #12
    swiggidy's Avatar
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    does anyone care that it's an UTG+1, limp/re-raise?
    (\__/)
    (='.'=)
    (")_(")
  13. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by swiggidy
    does anyone care that it's an UTG+1, limp/re-raise?
    well theres no may that villian is positionally aware so no.
    Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
  14. #14
    so what % of time does a villain with these stats limp/re-raise with a big hand?

    Also, wouldn't someone with these stats bet bigger on the flop and/or turn if he wanted us to fold?
    Poker is easy, it's winning at poker that's hard.
  15. #15
    bjsaust's Avatar
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    Villains a moron, likely this is a small pair.
    Just dipping my toes back in.
  16. #16
    will641's Avatar
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    i think jamming pre is more ideal here, because more often than not an over card hits the flop and makes life difficult on us. and this guy will probably call like 44+, Ax, 98+, etc.
    Cash Rules Everything Around Me.
  17. #17
    will641's Avatar
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    as played though i raise to like $5.5 and get it in on any turn.
    Cash Rules Everything Around Me.

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