The Battle of breaking even...

[CBAT]

Okay, I've played about 1500 hands at $10NL and I cannot seem to break even! I get right about to it and then drop a tiny bit. I normally raise to .50 (5BB) preflop.

Everyone seems to be so tight at this level. Should I loosen up, or buckle down? Here is my graph (the last 1500 hands are at $10NL).



Here are my playing stats
VP$IP: 22.33
PFR: 15.05
W$WSF: 40.49
WTSD: 29.62
AF: 3.67
AFq: 47.53
3Bet: 2.69
Fold 3B: 75.51
Att to Steal: 25.40
Fold BB to Steal: 82.76
Fold SB to Steal: 82.61

[TheScientist23]

1500 hands just isn't enough to get a good view of your winnings. Play like 10 times that then come back and see if your still even. you could just be in phase where the cards just don't go your way, just not by enough to make you loose money over all.

[CBAT]

Ok, I'll post at 15,000.

I may seem like a troll with my stupid posts, but I'm just trying to learn the online technique!

[BigLRIP]

You actually are winning at a decent clip (albeit small sample). I don't know what makes you think you are breaking even..?

[Erpel]

Yeah sample size small. Few thoughts that probably don't apply.

I see some real sudden changes in the graphs of 2 buyins - are you tilting when winning or losing big hands? It looks like often you win/lose more than one full stack at one time.

I'd suggest playing with some numbers regarding that pre-flop raise size. I'm not saying you should change it, just realise what size pot you are building pre-flop with what amount of opponents, what is your remaining stack size relative to that pot, what does that mean for implied odds and commitment thresholds for different types of hands.

Steal more blinds imo. Positionally aware play is of course important - super tight early, looser later. If you have an idea that both blinds are tight, weak and don't adjust you can raise any two cards on the button every time. And I mean any cards and every time. If they adjust - different story. But they probably don't (or don't adjust enough.) Depending on how tight the table is you can steal the button (and perhaps blinds) from CO - and you can steal BB from SB (maybe with a smaller than normal raise size - won't affect his fold chance much, just your loss when he does fight back - $0.30 should work).