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100NL: luckboxed river: shove? value bet?

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  1. #1
    jimmy44's Avatar
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    Default 100NL: luckboxed river: shove? value bet?

    No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (4 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Button ($151.70)
    Hero (SB) ($100)
    BB ($99.50)
    UTG ($104.50)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with A, 3
    1 fold, Button raises $3.50, Hero raises $11, 1 fold, Button calls $8

    Flop: ($24) J, 8, K (2 players)
    Hero bets $13, Button calls $13

    Turn: ($50) 6 (2 players)
    Hero checks, Button checks

    River: ($50) 2 (2 players)
    Hero ???

    Villain was 25/22 over 80 hands. No particular reads.
    Do you shove (we have $75 left) or value bet river?
  2. #2
    will641's Avatar
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    meh i just dont feel like youre getting called all that often with an overbet. he most likely has some mp hand trying to get to showdown. i would just throw out $25 and hope he bites.
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  3. #3
    I personally bet small like 18 or 22 and hope villain re-raise/shoves as a bluff. I mean if he does not have much he is rarely calling say a 2/3 pot bet, but by betting small you give him the chance to bluff and call off with worse where he would normall have folded.

    But thats just me.
  4. #4
    XTR1000's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by will641
    meh i just dont feel like youre getting called all that often with an overbet. he most likely has some mp hand trying to get to showdown. i would just throw out $25 and hope he bites.
    Quote Originally Posted by bigred View Post
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  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by XTR1000
    Quote Originally Posted by will641
    meh i just dont feel like youre getting called all that often with an overbet. he most likely has some mp hand trying to get to showdown. i would just throw out $25 and hope he bites.
  6. #6
    Yep will nailed it. He can still maybe jam in his mid thinking you can fold but he's probably is just calling.
  7. #7
    I'd bet like $35 because we're not gonna induce a bluff with a block bet probably, and it doesn't look like he's slowplaying anything he can call a shove with. A shove won't rep much of a bluff either since you checked the turn.
  8. #8
    nutsinho's Avatar
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    flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
    yea just make a normal value bet
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