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50nl: 99 overpair facing huge raise

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  1. #1

    Default 50nl: 99 overpair facing huge raise

    Villain is 25/18 tag over 100 hands. Easy fold? Pf raise size is this big because I usually raise the pot and CO had posted SB+BB.

    No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed)

    Button ($73.12)
    SB ($20)
    BB ($25.28)
    UTG ($93.70)
    Hero (MP) ($49.25)
    CO ($25)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with 99
    1 fold, Hero raises $2.50, 1 fold, Button calls $2.50, SB calls $2.25, BB calls $2

    Flop: ($10.75) 337 (4 players)
    SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $8, Button raises $30, 2 folds, Hero ?
  2. #2
    shove
  3. #3
    if 88 isn't in his range I'm behind a lot since it's TT or club overcards, right?
  4. #4
    hi , Im very much a beginner , so my advice is usually way off, so bear that in mind.

    I ran this through pokerstove. putting villain on any broadway and pairs.and if ive done it right.....

    your 66% and he is 33%.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by DirtyGoblin
    if 88 isn't in his range I'm behind a lot since it's TT or club overcards, right?
    He'll have 77/air/non-FD overs/non-overs FD as well.
    You can't fold and a call has you committed anyway. So just shove now and let villain call with a lot of worse hands.
  6. #6
    kmind's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by minSim
    Quote Originally Posted by DirtyGoblin
    if 88 isn't in his range I'm behind a lot since it's TT or club overcards, right?
    He'll have 77/air/non-FD overs/non-overs FD as well.
    You can't fold and a call has you committed anyway. So just shove now and let villain call with a lot of worse hands.
    Really disagree with air/non-FD overs
  7. #7
    nutsinho's Avatar
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    flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
    shove obv
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