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4/8 Optimistic calldown?

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  1. #1

    Default 4/8 Optimistic calldown?

    Villain is 24/18/2.6 seems decent, 1kNL reg. cbet stat is 60%. He steals 30% from the CO.

    $4/$8 No Limit Holdem
    5 players
    Converted at weaktight.com

    Stacks:
    BTN ($1115.00)
    SB ($792.00)
    BB ($1604.40)

    Pre-flop: ($12, 5 players) Hero is
    1 fold, Tidien raises to $23, Hero calls $23, 2 folds

    Flop: ($58, 2 players)
    Tidien bets $40, Hero calls $40

    Turn: ($138, 2 players)
    Tidien bets $104, Hero calls $104

    River: ($346, 2 players)
    Tidien bets $272, Hero calls $272

    [Results Hidden]
  2. #2
    I think it is optimistic, especially if villain is capable of somehow barreling JJ+ here for value.

    I'd almost rather call down on Q72 board or something, cause villain might think he can actually get us off a hand. On QQ7 I feel like he might/should be worried that we're slow-play calling down Qx and might not go crazy tripling bluff.

    Depends on reads of villain I guess.
  3. #3
    pocketfours's Avatar
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    I don't see how villain can profitably bluff the river, since you are almost never on a missed draw here. He certainly should not value bet A7 either, since your weakest calling range is like TT-88/67s/78s. You don't have an underpair here ever I hope?

    Folding turn seems standard, but I think calling turn and folding river is acceptable in this spot as well (he might bet the turn with A7 or fd but check the river).
  4. #4
    k ty guys. Thats pretty much what I thought.
  5. #5
    lol id like always get to the river and sometimes fold it-
    I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
  6. #6
    I'd fold, but calling is fine since every draw missed.
    Check out the new blog!!!
  7. #7
    yea, not to optomistic, as i think he would only have a pair of sevens at the most or even two pairs, but whatever the outcome was I would like to no.

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