100Nl KQ bvb

[noble007]

First hand at table.
I was hoping flush cards were bluff outs which would make turn call +ev without implied odds.
Is this line ok?


No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($100)
Button ($95.40)
SB ($100)
Hero (BB) ($100)
UTG ($101)
MP ($18.45)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K, Q
4 folds, SB raises $3.50, Hero calls $3

Flop: ($8) J, 10, 8 (2 players)
SB bets $5, Hero calls $5

Turn: ($18) 2 (2 players)
SB bets $13, Hero calls $13

River: ($44) 9 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $20, SB raises $78 (All-In), Hero folds

Total pot: $84

Results:
SB didn't show
Outcome: SB won $139

[bode]

wow i really want to look this up.

[XTR1000]

I probably fold vs unknown and make a note.

[griffey24]

I'd bet around 30-35ish, I feel like your sizing might have induced.

[BigPapi]

yeah i bet something like 33 and really want to call here in this situation...

[nutsinho]

i tried to post in this thread last night but apparently it didnt work out. i just dont see what hand he's going to get here with that he needs to bluff with. hes at 100nl and not gonna be playing GTO and turning his weakest two pairs and like AsAx into a bluff. This also is a pretty good spot for him to c/r a strong flush because youre going to bet and be tempted to call a c/r with a fairly large chunk of your range that is less than a big flush and also not calling a big value bet with hands that you wouldnt value bet yourself.

[nutsinho]

if its not clear im saying i like the fold

[griffey24]

Is this not a reasonable spot for villain to be like "hmm.. he'd never bet so small with a flush.. when I can so easily have a straight. Soooo I'm gonna jam and take him off this chop" ....?

[nutsinho]

its plausible but checkraising is probably by far the least likely line for villain to take with Qx

[bigspenda73]

nuts in ho

what's your river bet-size and why?

[nutsinho]

probably like 14$ as id expect him to lead Qx most of the time

[Toadstool]

villain expects you to have a flush/straight a huge % of the time, which means he is hardly ever bluffing here. I think it's more likely that he has a flush because in his mind you often have one, so he wouldn't raise a straight.