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Is my line here too strong?
Villain is 19/14/2 and hasn't been raising very many of his buttons.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP ($104.20)
Button ($168.65)
SB ($24.20)
Hero (BB) ($101)
UTG ($79.55)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 9 , 9
2 folds, Button raises to $3, 1 fold, Hero calls $2
Flop: ($6.50) A , 9 , 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $4, Button raises to $12, Hero calls $8
Turn: ($30.50) J (2 players)
Hero bets $21, Button calls $21
River: ($72.50) 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $65 (All-In)
So I loved the flop, and decided to lead because I thought it would make him more likely to play back and more likely to devalue my range. Also I've been leading a lot of flops against nitty opponents as bluffs/semi-bluffs.
I was already planning to keep betting on the turn and the J didn't change my mind. After he called I put him on AJ/AT/A9 (maybe)/KQ.
The river wasn't great but I'm beating KQ now and losing to AT, still have to shove right? Is there any merit in betting less? I set up with the turn bet size so I could shove for a little under pot on the river.
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