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Top pair vs fish river shove
villain is a 38-8 who i've tagged as dead-money. His fold to c-bet is 64% (small sample) but he steals and bets a bit.
I doubt he has a set as he'll get a bet in somewhere with the two suit board. So, after the flop I'm putting him on 22-99/Ax/67/78/89/24/45/23-KQd
Turn narrows his range, and gets rid of the 22-99 (folds the weak pairs, bets/raises the sets) so 78/Ax plus the flush draws.
River is interesting. I need to be good 1/4. Easy call? or? i mean, i know 5d6d/TdJd got there, but meh, such a small part of his range. I just don't know if he shoves AT/A6 here.
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($48.30)
UTG+1 ($17.25)
MP1 ($56.95)
MP2 ($96.30)
MP3 ($25.95)
CO ($10.00)
Hero (BTN) ($50.00)
SB ($50.00)
BB ($11.75)
Pre-flop: ($0.75, 9 players) Hero is BTN
UTG calls $0.50, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $3.25, 2 folds, UTG calls $2.75, UTG+1 folds, MP3 folds
Flop: ($8.25, 2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $5, UTG calls $5
Turn: ($18.25, 2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $15.50, UTG calls $15.50
River: ($49.25, 2 players)
UTG goes all-in $24.55,
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