NL100 my AK got cold 4bet

[mg0698]

Initaial opener is a nitty reg (15/12/2) but he doesn't fold to 3bets so i obv 3 bet for value which is pretty standard.

The cold 4 better is a TAG playing 19/15/5 haven't seen him doing anything unusual has a 3bet% of 4.

FWIW i almost never fold AK PF is this a spot where we can find a fold?


Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG: $104.95
MP: $239.65
CO: $119.30
Hero (BTN): $118.50
SB: $103.10
BB: $100.00

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with A K
2 folds, CO raises to $4, Hero raises to $12.50, 1 fold, BB raises to $28, 1 fold, Hero??

[Parasurama]

how do you think he views you?

His range is QQ+/AK at the tightest

[bspahn]

i like your preflop 3bet sizing. you have like 12% of your stack in there. if his REGULAR 3betting is 4% only then in this spot it's definitely QQ+/AK and more likely just the big pairs - I fold here.

id say this opp would easily ditch hands like TT or JJ in this spot even preflop, even AK in most cases.

I think you can fold this considering BB has a 3b of 4%
although for that stat to mean anything it would have to be several hundred hands

[minSim]

fold>call>shove

[bode]

fold>call>shove

fold>>>>shove>call

what does calling do for us here? It loses us ~30% of our stack 2/3 of the time, and the 1/3 of the time we flop good we scare away QQ, splitting with his AK's and are crushed by AA/KK.

[OP]

how do you think he views you?

This is very important in these spots imo and shouldn't be overlooked

For example, I 3bet a shit ton in position and as a direct result I get 4 bet pretty often whether that be from the blinds making a play knowing I can be light or the the original raiser just fed up with me fucking with him. I know they know that and act accordingly. I'm not sure 100NL players have these plays in their arsenal but it's definately feasable.

That being said I don't think a 19/15 at 6max is imaginative enough to level you like this and is not dicking around too much in this spot

Definately agree with Bode here
Fold>>>Shove and call should never even cross your mind without history and pretty serious reads

[d0zer]

I think it's generally a good policy to take cold 4bets really seriously unless you think they could be doing it relatively wide, or are capable of cold 4b bluffing.

I would not assume that a 19/15 who only 3bets 4% even close to meets this criteria.

[mcatdog]

fold>call>shove

fold>>>>shove>call

what does calling do for us here? It loses us ~30% of our stack 2/3 of the time, and the 1/3 of the time we flop good we scare away QQ, splitting with his AK's and are crushed by AA/KK.

well shoving loses us 100% of our stack 2/3 of the time so I think minSim was right

[Renton]

pretty standard shove

[Parasurama]

pretty standard shove

Hey that's what I tried to say!

[minSim]

Not sure why you all say it's such a standard shove, imo we're basically always facing AK/JJ+, which makes the shove -EV.

Bode, I profered call over shove because we can outflop JJ/QQ a decent amount and get a cbet, outflop KK sometimes and win the pot against AK sometimes when he doesn't cbet bad boards.

[Renton]

its barely -ev vs JJ+ AK but with the limited reads op has, we must give villain a non zero bluff/tilt/TT/AQ frequency.

[Marshall28]

My only question is, why are you playing in such nitty games?

[OP]

pretty standard shove

I'm surprised to hear a FR player advocate such a high variance play like this, especialy if you're taking 1010 and AQ out and getting it in as a 2.5:1 dog

[Renton]

that post is kind of ridiculous

1) why would he 4bet TT/AQ and fold for the rest with 100bb?
2) where are you getting a 2.5:1 dog? we're a 1.5:1 dog vs the tightest possible range.

[mixchange]

My only question is, why are you playing in such nitty games?

haha good post, he has position on a nitty reg I hope MP is a fish