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100nl - bear with me

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  1. #1

    Default 100nl - bear with me

    Villain is 11/11 with a 33% ats over 131, no history, utg who folded flop is a fish. The fact that this guy called my flop bet and probably doesn't have any K's in his range kind of scares me.

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Button ($111.35)
    SB ($107.65)
    Hero (BB) ($100)
    UTG ($60.50)
    UTG+1 ($100)
    MP1 ($124.35)
    MP2 ($106.70)
    MP3 ($113.15)
    CO ($94)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with A, A
    UTG calls $1, UTG+1 calls $1, MP1 calls $1, 1 fold, MP3 checks, 1 fold, Button calls $1, 1 fold, Hero bets $9, UTG calls $8, UTG+1 calls $8, 3 folds

    Flop: ($29.50) 3, K, 8 (3 players)
    Hero bets $17, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $17

    Turn: ($63.50) 4 (2 players)
    Hero?
  2. #2
    meh small sample, he could be bad enough to have AK I suppose.

    villain is xxgl79xx fwiw
  3. #3
    bet and soulread. i dont expect to get raised here very much
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
    meh small sample, he could be bad enough to have AK I suppose.

    villain is xxgl79xx fwiw
    you're toast vs. him alot though he seems bad since he's taken the road from 3/6 all the way down to 100 now. I hate folding such big pots with overpairs so I probably commit and cry at end of hand.
  5. #5
    i probably throw out $25-35 and shove the river. Some passive players might hit sets here but i rarely fold AA in such a big pot.
  6. #6
    o0o0o when did u move to 100NL m2m? gogo nj =P
  7. #7
    Join Date
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    I would have to push and hope for the best..To much money in the pot..
    Stackin chips and rippin lips!!
  8. #8
    meh gl can do some fancy stuff..... However I think floating an unknown tag (which I'm guessing you are to him) on a K high board once you cbet into a fish is not something I expect him to do pretty much ever. I think it's a c/f, this really is a set a ridiculous percentage of the time, probably 33.

    On this dry board, I don't think the flop bet needs to be so big, especially if we're not planning on stacking off to gl. I think we can get away with a $14 or even smaller bet here.
    3k post - Return of the blog!
  9. #9
    rpm's Avatar
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    maaaaaaaaaaate
    considering he's pretty taggy, limp/call is unlikely with AK imo. or any mediumish pair he might consider floating (99-JJ) although, your range had to be almost exclusively KK+ for him to be getting much set value. i like badgers point about the bet sizing on flop. i thought your bet seemed pretty standard at first, but given SPR, and that he's very rarely continuing with anything but made hands. less seems better.

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