100NL, is my set line OK in this situation?

[pokerfan]

villian is 14/10/8 over 200 hands. Is there any merit of raising at some point in this hand given that his FR UTG range is pretty strong.
No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (UTG+1) ($100.45)
MP1 ($100)
MP2 ($94.60)
MP3 ($134.40)
CO ($88.45)
Button ($106.80)
SB ($100)
BB ($97.40)
UTG ($100)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 5, 5
UTG bets $3, Hero calls $3, 3 folds, CO calls $3, 3 folds

Flop: ($10.50) J, Q, 5 (3 players)
UTG bets $7, Hero calls $7, 1 fold

Turn: ($24.50) K (2 players)
UTG bets $15, Hero calls $15

River: ($54.50) 2 (2 players)
UTG bets $26, Hero calls $26

Total pot: $106.50

[bigspenda73]

I'd jam over this river bet sizing

[rpm]

i'm an utter fish so obviously what i say is probably wrong. but, what hands does he raise utg and fire 3 streets with that we can beat here? only hand i can think of is AK. which is a questionable OOP river bet in itself.

[bikes]

I'd jam over this river bet sizing

+1 I don't think he's calling much but I think he rarely if ever has us beat here.

[badgers]

TBH I probs just call. We're really letting him off the hook if he has KQ but he may even lay that down. I think shoving is really thin and I want to reduce variance and also I really want to see what he has!

I agree that his sizing indicates that we have the best hand a ton, but we're getting paid off by worse so rarely and it is still possible he has us beat. He basically has to put us on exactly TT to make a call with worse.

Does anybody else think preflop is not standard? Against a decent reg I would just dump this unless there are some fishy players behind and no habitual squeezers.

[bigspenda73]

yea PF is a fold fo sho

[pokerfan]

I called his 3x raise from UTG1 cuz there's one big donk sitting in BB. Definitely not standard from this position.I was a little bit scared to jam over his seemingly weak river bet with fifth nuts.

[aka_red]

I think you should raise the turn.

[badgers]

I think you should raise the turn.

Really? On this dry board that just seems like an easy way to get stacked by better and get him to snapfold all worse...

[aka_red]

I think you should raise the turn.

Really? On this dry board that just seems like an easy way to get stacked by better and get him to snapfold all worse...

How are you expecting this to change on the river? I think if anything it gets worse on the river.

[badgers]

That's why I'm calling river. By calling turn we let him maybe vbet again with AA/AK (or he may c/c those hands) and we keep random bluffs (although rare) in his range. If we raise at any point in the hand we're crushed by his calling range

[BankItDrew]

min raise turn = 3/4 psb shove river?