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50NL Facing 5Bet PF

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  1. #1
    Guest

    Default 50NL Facing 5Bet PF

    Villain just sat down, bought in for 50bbs. We have no history. How often is this not AA/KK? Villain's bet sizing is horrid, but it's almost like he wants a call... but at 50bbs, would you just shove and say FTW?!

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    CO ($47.35)
    Button ($101.30)
    SB ($9.50)
    BB ($25)
    UTG ($50.40)
    UTG+1 ($52)
    Hero (MP1) ($50)
    MP2 ($50)
    MP3 ($27.85)

    Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q, Q
    2 folds, Hero bets $2, 5 folds, BB raises to $4, Hero raises to $10, BB raises to $16, 1 fold

    Total pot: $20.25 | Rake: $0
  2. #2
    fuck it I shove because that would be my plan when I 4bet
  3. #3
    Guest
    That's what I was going to do but getting 5bet without the nuts just makes me want to crawl back into my hole.
  4. #4
    did you actually fold? wow...
    3k post - Return of the blog!
  5. #5
    This coming from a micros stakes player, but i think this is simple enough for my small mind.

    Lets talk about this shove. If we shove we are risking $15 to win $35.25 - rake from total pot ( assuming he gets it in with us) If we shove and he folds we take $26.25 - rake.

    First lets assume his range is bluffs and AK, QQ+.
    Then our equity when we get it in is:

    Hand 0: 59.793% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
    Hand 1: 40.207% { QQ }


    In some ridiculous fantasy land where villian is never doing this with anything except above our equity is:

    (.4)(35.25) = $14.1 - $15 = a $.90 loss on the play so we have:

    (Needed Bluffing %)($26.25) = $.90 hence needed Bluffing % = 3.43%
    So yeah why couldnt you have done this and not posted?
  6. #6
    4-bet shove since you have to continue to a 5-bet anyways. Folding here is never an option.
  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by Outlaw
    4-bet shove since you have to continue to a 5-bet anyways. Folding here is never an option.
    That would be shoving $48 into a $6.25 pot. Thats one hell of an overbet.

    I think folding could be an option here, although its extremely villain dependent. The pot is $32 or so and we have $38 behind, so if we think villain's range is tight enough (QQ+) and we have no fold equity on a shove, then we should fold.
  8. #8
    acoss3006 Guest
    If your not keen to get it in, call the $6 and reevaluate on the flop.
  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by acoss3006
    If your not keen to get it in, call the $6 and reevaluate on the flop.
    this

    and ffs he clicked it back, and his sizing on the 3bet is terrible he probably has like AJ
  10. #10
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    4 bet fold JJ, AQ or sometimes AK.

    Not so much QQ.
  11. #11
    We have 38 behind, but villian has 9 behind. What am i missing here????? Calling seems pretty trivial as its getting in almost any flop.

    Quote Originally Posted by TonyB73
    Quote Originally Posted by Outlaw
    4-bet shove since you have to continue to a 5-bet anyways. Folding here is never an option.
    I think folding could be an option here, although its extremely villain dependent. The pot is $32 or so and we have $38 behind, so if we think villain's range is tight enough (QQ+) and we have no fold equity on a shove, then we should fold.
  12. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by Outlaw
    4-bet shove since you have to continue to a 5-bet anyways.
    No. If we have to continue to a 5bet its because continuing to a 5bet is +EV. If continuing to a 5bet is -EV then we dont have to continue to a 5bet, in which case 4betting and folding is usually going to be better than shoving anyway.
    gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

    bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
  13. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by TonyB73
    Quote Originally Posted by Outlaw
    4-bet shove since you have to continue to a 5-bet anyways. Folding here is never an option.
    That would be shoving $48 into a $6.25 pot. Thats one hell of an overbet.

    I think folding could be an option here, although its extremely villain dependent. The pot is $32 or so and we have $38 behind, so if we think villain's range is tight enough (QQ+) and we have no fold equity on a shove, then we should fold.
    We are shoving $21 in.

    If AK is in his range he has to fold 20% of the time to make a 4-bet shove profitable. Add JJ to his range and its profitable no matter if he calls or folds.
  14. #14
    Don't fold QQ against halfstacks, period.
  15. #15
    Join Date
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    what dean said
    Stackin chips and rippin lips!!
  16. #16
    Guest
    Thanks guys. Getting 3-bet for the minimum when I'm holding QQ just feels like an auto 4bet. Against an unknown half-stack, perhaps a call is correct since we have position? I did feel a fold was correct here because getting 4bet at this level means the goods (for the most part). Fuck I don't know, I suck.
  17. #17
    ez shove
  18. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by Outlaw
    Quote Originally Posted by TonyB73
    Quote Originally Posted by Outlaw
    4-bet shove since you have to continue to a 5-bet anyways. Folding here is never an option.
    That would be shoving $48 into a $6.25 pot. Thats one hell of an overbet.

    I think folding could be an option here, although its extremely villain dependent. The pot is $32 or so and we have $38 behind, so if we think villain's range is tight enough (QQ+) and we have no fold equity on a shove, then we should fold.
    We are shoving $21 in.
    Thats right (sorry, misread villain's stack size). Still a big overbet though.

    As played I'd be getting it in, btw.

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