nl50 River bluff raise

[humanfugitive]

Villain is 46/13 and donk folds alot. I wanted to know if this is a good spot since i feel hes betting 9x Tx on the river alot. He'll obviously call down with flush, two pair, str8s but his bet seems so much like a blocking bet/bluff and I can rep so much more.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (Button) ($50)
SB ($158.30)
BB ($74.15)
UTG ($64.70)
MP ($50)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 7, 6
2 folds, Hero bets $1.50, 1 fold, BB calls $1

Flop: ($3.25) 9, 3, 10 (2 players)
BB bets $1, Hero raises to $4, BB calls $3

Turn: ($11.25) 2 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($11.25) K (2 players)
BB bets $4.50, Hero raises to $15

[griffey24]

I really wouldn't bluff a big whale here. I think he has too many hands that will stubborn call. I'm not sure how thinking a whale is, but it also looks like you should have a flush here and he's still betting into you which is kinda weird.

I also think he has too many hands like KQ, KJ and stuff which aren't gonna fold.

[meeloche]

If the river was a offsuit card below 6 i'd like it. As played all of his draws got there and I don't think he folds 10x all that often so that doesn't make it all that good imo.

[Sup3rM4N]

If the river was a offsuit card below 6 i'd like it. As played all of his draws got there and I don't think he folds 10x all that often so that doesn't make it all that good imo.

I agree that he would not be folding Tx that often here but how come an offsuit below 6 would have been a better card to bluff than the K of heart? Isn't it a bit more likely that he would fold his Tx hands since both a straight/flush draw gets there on the river?

[meeloche]

Well yeah but there are more draws that he can have besides 10x which happen to be better than 7 high which he will always fold on a 6 or lower card. I'm not counting on him folding a 10 even on the best card to try and bluff him off it so I don't think that makes a river raise here all that good.

Basically his range for b/c this river is much larger than his b/f range here imo.

[minSim]

non-heart A,2-5 are raisable imo

[Irisheyes]

Usually when they donk lead small on these flops they have a draw so wouldn't raise that flop against this guy with your hand unless I planned on barreling off on blanks. River is bad because he probably had a draw.

[pocketfours]

This is terrible, I wouldn't expect him to fold any hand for only $10.50 more and I very much doubt he plays 9x like this.

[humanfugitive]

thanks - yea he folded, but I see how his b/c > b/f

[eragotte]

generally i like a VERY strong read to bluff a donk... bluff nitts and value bet donks