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50NL, Nuts flush draw+gunshot on turn

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  1. #1

    Default 50NL, Nuts flush draw+gunshot on turn

    villian is 17/10/1.5 with 1% 3bet% over 150 hands. Any thoughts on my play on the flop, turn and river? I just cant see any hands in his range which i beat on the river.Also, I dont really think that these types of players would run trip barrel bluff after i showed so much interest in the hand. Should i CRAI on the turn instead given his weak bet sizing?
    No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    MP1 ($59.40)
    Hero (MP2) ($50.75)
    MP3 ($66.20)
    CO ($52.55)
    Button ($64.65)
    SB ($96.35)
    BB ($54.50)
    UTG ($50)
    UTG+1 ($168.30)

    Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, K
    3 folds, Hero bets $2, 2 folds, Button calls $2, 2 folds

    Flop: ($4.75) 10, 3, 2 (2 players)
    Hero bets $3, Button raises $9, Hero calls $6

    Turn: ($22.75) J (2 players)
    Hero checks, Button bets $12, Hero calls $12

    River: ($46.75) A (2 players)
    Hero checks, Button bets $15, Hero ?
  2. #2
    I think he has a worse FD more than 25% of the time here so I call. Not particularly happy though...

    Other streets look fine. Turn c/r is spewy I think he'll have sets too much.
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  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by badgers View Post
    I think he has a worse FD more than 25% of the time here so I call. Not particularly happy though...
    So are you calling on a non A or K river?

    I think this hand is played fine but the river is close but I can't find a fold for such a good price without a strong read that he always has a set here.


    Don't complain; Just work harder - Randy Pausch (The Last Lecture)
  4. #4
    haha good question. Depends what card it is, I think he's more likely to bluff an A or K though. I do agree it is a very close decision on river.
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  5. #5
    Fuck!!! I often lost lots of money in these goofy spots.
  6. #6
    is it ever possible for villain to have AT, J9s or Q9s here since calling flat from button?
    I think a set seems much more probable given stats but there's to many hands you beat to not call river.

    Seems like you did a good job of controlling the pot from OP anyway and his weak river bet seems more like a blocker... but I can defenitely see a either a missed draw or set here.
    Last edited by Santo2True; 04-10-2010 at 01:29 PM.
    "Those who say it can't be done, shouldn't interrupt those who are doing it"

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