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50NL, Bottom set facing heat on wet flop

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  1. #1

    Default 50NL, Bottom set facing heat on wet flop

    villian is 12/8/2.6 over 350 hands.Is my bottom set on the bottom of my stacking off range here? Can you guys decipher his weird line for me? WTF like that? Small bet followed up by a huge 3 bet?

    No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    MP1 ($59.10)
    Hero (MP2) ($50)
    MP3 ($148.05)
    CO ($52.25)
    Button ($81.05)
    SB ($49)
    BB ($51.60)
    UTG ($48.75)
    UTG+1 ($48.25)

    Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 10, 10
    1 fold, UTG+1 bets $1.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.50, 3 folds, SB calls $1.25, 1 fold

    Flop: ($5) J, K, 10 (3 players)
    SB checks, UTG+1 bets $2, Hero raises $7, 1 fold, UTG+1 raises $23, Hero wtf?
  2. #2
    I think i'm folding here , given the action and his EP raise i put him with JJ+ AQ+ maybe AJ , and i don't think he is playing something u beat AK/AJ or QQ in this way
  3. #3
    Calling the flop in this spot is fine, and I guess fold now
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by Deanglow View Post
    Calling the flop in this spot is fine, and I guess fold now
    .
    3k post - Return of the blog!
  5. #5
    Yah my standard is to call this flop as well. You have about 30% equity vs KK, JJ AQ. If he can play AK like this then your equity jumps to 50%. Either way you benefit from just calling flop since his range is still so strong.

    Fish usually weak lead like this with polarized ranges, which suggests that since he 3B you he is heavily weighted towards the top of his range, so I guess a fold is prudent. Keep an eye on how he plays AK in similar spots to gain reads.


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