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100NL 44, bottom set

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  1. #1

    Default 100NL 44, bottom set

    Hey guys, I need a range check here. Villain is a passive TAG, stats 13/8, 1.3% 3bet. I'm fairly certain he's calling up to QQ pre here. I don't think there are any straights in his range that complete on this turn. On the other hand his aggression nearly made me fold because he really is the passive type, however, given the following range, it's a call since I need a little over 40%.

    FWIW my image is really active and aggro both pre and post flop, probably running around 30/25ish in about 40 hands which _could_ account for some frustrated FPS on his side. However, I haven't shown down anything out of line.

    Edit: last thought, I don't know if I can include JJ in his river betting range considering how passive he is, which would bring my equity down further and would probably make this too thin.

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 57.143% 57.14% 00.00% 12 0.00 { 4c4s }
    Hand 1: 42.857% 42.86% 00.00% 9 0.00 { QQ-JJ, 99, 77, 55 }

    Watchoo think?

    Full Tilt Pot-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    SB ($149.40)
    BB ($42.40)
    UTG ($46.50)
    UTG+1 ($100)
    MP1 ($100)
    Hero (MP2) ($164.10)
    CO ($101.35)
    Button ($46.30)

    Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 4, 4
    3 folds, Hero bets $3, CO calls $3, 2 folds, BB calls $2

    Flop: ($9.50) 5, 9, 4 (3 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $6, CO calls $6, 1 fold

    Turn: ($21.50) 7 (2 players)
    Hero bets $14, CO raises to $32, Hero calls $18

    River: ($85.50) 10 (2 players)
    Hero checks, CO bets $60.35 (All-In), Hero calls $60.35

    Total pot: $206.20 | Rake: $3
    Last edited by Gobbatino; 11-19-2010 at 08:48 PM.

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