100nl AQs 3handed preflop

[Vi-Zer0Skill]

BTN is Smali, an unexceptional reg (6-8tabler) who I've done well against in 2-3handed situations in previous sessions. He doesn't 4bet much, so I expect him to defend against my 3betting (he knows I 3bet a lot from the blinds) by doing more flatting. Against a reg who's more aggro preflop I think shoving is clearly better than flatting OOP, but I don't really think he does this with worse than TT+/AK for value, and over 4k hands his 4bet% in LP is even lower than overall.

I'm just not sure what is best versus this kind of reg. call and get it in on Axx/Qxx/KJx/Kxxss etc? shove or fold?



PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (3 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

BB ($142.15)
Button ($101)
Hero (SB) ($103.50)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, Q
Button bets $3, Hero raises to $10, 1 fold, Button raises to $25, Hero..

[Toadstool]

His open from the BTN % is important here, you say he doesn't 4bet much, but I assume he does have a 4bet bluffing range. If he raises 90% of hands from the BTN, and 4 bets the top 4% of his hands for value vs a 3bet, flats 16%, then he is left with 70% of hands, he doesn't need to be bluffing very often with the rest of his hands no not make this a jam, say he bluffs 5% of the time with his 70% - then he will have a bluff 50% and a vbet 50% which makes this a super easy jam with the dead money out there. If he opens 45% from the BTN then it starts to become closer, and he'll have TT+/AK 2/3 of the time (assuming he does bluff 5% of the time)

I hope this is right..actually I hope this is wrong so then I can become better at pokerz

[IowaSkinsFan]

If he opens the button a lot id certainly shove it in. If he's reasonably loose id still probably shove it in. If he's tight I guess not.

[Vi-Zer0Skill]

I'd estimate he opens 60% of BTNs in 3handed. i think looking at these maths I should have shoved because he knows I'm 3betting fairly often so his 4bet bluff% is likely higher than 5%.

thank you toadstool

[aka_red]

i think jamming is better than flatting

[meeloche]

i think jamming is better than flatting

I agree with this as well.

[IowaSkinsFan]

I'd estimate he opens 60% of BTNs in 3handed. i think looking at these maths I should have shoved because he knows I'm 3betting fairly often so his 4bet bluff% is likely higher than 5%.

thank you toadstool

Yep

[Ravageur]

Yeah easy jam.

[Genitruc]

CIB?