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AKo on monotone Axx flop in 3bet pot.
Villain is a loose-passive who I know calls 3bets wide but have not had a single 4bet hand yet with. I do know he will 3bet hands like AJo despite his fairly low 3bet % and he tends to get very locked into TP regardless of kicker. I think it's safe to assume he is probably 3betting AT as well as KQ and since we have absolutely 0 4bet dynamic after 350ish hands I don't see any reason to start one now.
Full Tilt - $0.50 NL (2 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
BB: $64.65
Hero (SB): $177.10
Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has A K
Hero raises to $1.50, BB raises to $4.00, Hero calls $2.50
Flop: ($8.00, 2 players) A 8 9
BB checks, Hero bets $4.00, BB raises to $12.00, Hero calls $8.00
So far he has checked every 3bet pot that I can remember. I lead here because I do not want to see a 4th heart and he is going to have a lot of As that I can get value from. His raise is a little scary but he has made raises with TP hands pretty consistently throughout the match. Despite most of his range for doing this being Ax hands I don't see much merit in 3betting as I am sure that would narrow his range significantly.
Turn: ($32.00, 2 players) 8
BB bets $21.25
I feel like this is probably a jam as he won't fold any Ax he may hold. Fwiw I don't see him ever having an 8 here and A9 is extremely unlikely. I'd say his range is essentially AT+, KQhh, and I suppose it's possible he would play a big pair with a h this way as well as he is certainly the type of player who would just never fold KK because it's KK regardless of the board. It is possible that he has some air as well because I have caught him bluffing a few times but given that most of his air probably has a h I still think that jamming is probably a no brainer here.
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