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Making -ve EV plays
-ve EV plays are bad but are there some that are unavoidable or is that just crazytalk or am I just being stupid and looking at things in a really stupid way or am I just being stupid full stop. *edit* i suppose that there should really be a question mark on the end of that sentence.
Example:
$0.1/0.2nlhe
Hero($1.25) has JcJs and is OOP against LAG opponent($2.50)
Hero bet 0.06and was called by villain only
flop comes 2h7hKs
Hero makes it 0.30 to go and is called, puts opponent on a king, possibly AK maybe KQ as villain is quite a loose caller.
turn comes 4h
Hero checks, villain checks
river comes Jd
Hero bets 0.35 and villain shoves, Hero calls.
Okay so villain flips AhQh and takes down the pot. This is a -EV play right? Or am I thinking about this in the wrong way, should I consider the opponents range in my calculation and not just the particular hand that he had on show down? Intuitively always felting Jacks when you hit your set seems +EV to me even if not completely optimal. Obviously another heart on the board and I would have dropped my hand without even thinking about it. Am I making a noob error?
Thanks for the advice!
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