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[5NL] KTo...river decision
Villain is 30/24/6 over 101 hands.
PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: $3.16
BB: $6.63
UTG: $12.52
Hero (CO): $5.00
BTN: $3.08
SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has T K
fold, Hero raises to $0.15, BTN calls $0.15, SB calls $0.13, fold
Flop: ($0.50, 3 players) J T 8
SB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: ($0.50, 3 players) K
SB bets $0.35, Hero calls $0.35, fold
River: ($1.20, 2 players) 4
SB bets $1.05, Hero ???
What could villain have here? The flop is pretty wet so I think if he has 2P/set on flop he probably bets it?
Makes a bet on turn - I can beat AK/KQ, although I think it's unlikely villain overcalls pre with AK. Maybe he overcalled with AQ? Only other hand is Q9 but I don't think villains calls pre with that hand and I think he almost definitely leads the flop with it. Is villain leading out just taking a stab at the pot?
Near PSB on river, I have to beat now surely? Would he continue a bluff? There isn't a whole lot of hands I can beat but I don't like folding 2P to this line either...
Thoughts?
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