aces flatted in late position vs steal, HU to low flop

[daven]

Villain is aggro 27-18-6 with middling fold to 3b, 85% flolp cbet, 55% turn cbet
bu is 14-7-3 low squeeze
sb is 17-13-3 with 5% squeeze
bb is 10-4-1 ubernit

pre i hope for a squeeze, don't happen
call call call (bet if checked to) seem about right?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from http://flopturnriver.com

MP2 ($20.19)
Hero (CO) ($25)
Button ($24.65)
SB ($35.87)
BB ($24.65)
UTG ($25)
UTG+1 ($22.01)
MP1 ($58.88)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, A
3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.85, Hero calls $0.85, 3 folds

Flop: ($2.05) 8, 4, 3 (2 players)
MP2 bets $1.43, Hero calls $1.43

Turn: ($4.91) 9 (2 players)
MP2 bets $3.43, Hero calls $3.43

[bikes]

call.
call or mebbe jam over on solid rivers.
4325A

[Micro2Macro]

man you gotta start showing the next card after you show your action

[daven]

man you gotta start showing the next card after you show your action

sure thing:
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php

MP2 ($20.19)
Hero (CO) ($25)
Button ($24.65)
SB ($35.87)
BB ($24.65)
UTG ($25)
UTG+1 ($22.01)
MP1 ($58.88)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, A
3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.85, Hero calls $0.85, 3 folds

Flop: ($2.05) 8, 4, 3 (2 players)
MP2 bets $1.43, Hero calls $1.43

Turn: ($4.91) 9 (2 players)
MP2 bets $3.43, Hero calls $3.43

River: ($11.77) 9 (2 players)
MP2 bets $8.23, Hero raises to $16.46,

[griffey24]

Preflop you MUST 3b.

You say you hope for a squeeze, after the stats you give for players behind are 'low squeeze', '5% squeeze' and 'uber nit'? Why would you ever expect a squeeze here?

It's a big mistake not 3b here, especially if you say he only has middling fold to 3b.

As played, easy call on river. If I'm going to raise somewhere postflop I will raise flop. Not sure why you would raise this river at all...? I mean I don't hate it, if he's always b/c A8-KK, but still it seems to be over-repping your hand.