k9s steal

[Zorkion]

Merge - $0.04 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 110.5 BB (VPIP: 49.12, PFR: 17.94, 3Bet Preflop: 3.60, Hands: 341)
BB: 173.25 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 2.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 40)
UTG: 101.5 BB (VPIP: 18.68, PFR: 13.19, 3Bet Preflop: 3.33, Hands: 92)
UTG+1: 37.75 BB (VPIP: 38.68, PFR: 7.62, 3Bet Preflop: 2.27, Hands: 108)
MP: 94.5 BB (VPIP: 5.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
Hero (CO): 181.25 BB
BTN: 248.75 BB (VPIP: 26.47, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 6.63, Hands: 408)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9 K

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold

Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) 8 9 T
SB bets 4.5 BB, Hero raises to 10.5 BB, fold

relevant notes on opp: [P] Called 2Bet from blinds range {TT,AQs,K8s,AQo,QTo,J7o,J5o,T9o} (8)


thoughts? assuming the raise is reasonable, is the sizing decent?

[griffey24]

Just to clarify... is this for value or a bluff? ie: what do you do if you get 3b? I'm assuming it's a bluff. But if I can't figure out which it is by looking at the hand, it's probably not great

When you are bluffing ask yourself: 'what better hands are folding to my bluff'?

In this case, what better hands are folding?

[Zorkion]

If I get 3b here, I'm folding. I made the raise to preserve equity vs broadway hands. I think given the flop texture and my position, theres enough in my range here that opp has to play it very straight-forward. So I guess...semi-bluff?

[griffey24]

7xdd, Txdd, Jxdd, Qxdd, KQdd,KJdd, Axdd, JT, J9, KJ, two pairs/sets can all potentially bet/3bet this flop. So there's a ton of hands in there that you actually beat that you are folding to when they 3b.

I'd imagine the only hands that would b/c your raise would be AT/KT/QT or something. All of which beat you.

So now villains continuing range is only hands that beat you. Unless you're thinking diff ranges. What hands that you beat do you think continue by only b/c? What hands that you beat fold to your raise?

[Zorkion]

alright, heres the range I think is reasonable for opp to b/f the flop a decent amount of time: AJs,A9s-A8s,KQs,AJo,A9o-A8o,KJo+, of course, with the suited hands not including any dds.

Upon analysis, it seems a bit more marginal that I thought it was. Maybe c/c flop would have been better? or do you think just c/f?