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Can we c/f turn?
Villain seems competent enough, 24/17/4.0. Seems positonally aware too.
Sure, it looks like the kind of flop where he can stack off with a lot worse - but can he really have it?
Say his calling range for the 3bet is [QQ, JJ, TT, AQs, AQo] then 57% of his range on the flop is straights. If he folds QQ on the flop, or at least only calls one street then shuts down with it, then 72% of his turn continuing range is straights and the rest are the undersets.
Thoughts?
PokerStars Zoom No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Converted at http://www.handhistoryconverter.com
Button ($38.31)
SB ($29.93)
BB ($26.90)
UTG ($37.01)
MP ($49.22)
Hero (CO) ($28.06)
Preflop: Hero is CO with K , K
1 fold, MP bets $0.75, Hero raises to $2.25, 3 folds, MP calls $1.50
Flop: ($4.85) K , 10 , J (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $4.25, MP calls $4.25
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