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Op was a bit of a leading question really. I'm not considering folding and the issue is really around raising after reading one of those Savy articles the other day. Mainly I'm going to want to be raising x percentage of the time for value and bluffs.
So, if we said villain opens 35% on the sb, folds to 3bets 65% of the time and 4bets the remainder, i'm going to be defending a lot given immediate pot odds and position and the perception that villain is a weak reg. In all likelihood, I'm:
- 3betting 5% for value (TT+, AJs, AQ+)
- 3betting a minimum of 15%-20% as a bluff (low pps, low suited aces, weak offsuit aces, other suited shite like KXs, etc)
- flatting a minimum of 15%-20% (77-99, A8s-ATs, A9o-AJo, all broadways, lot of suited connectors and suited gappers, some suited two gappers)
The problem is, given the above and assuming villain is competent enough to understand this, there is practically nothing in my flatting range that I can raise for value. Sure I can raise a handful of semi-bluffs including Ks and some airballs, but a competent villain should know this as there are no value hands in my range such as two pair or sets and therefore villain can barrel away pretty easily on a lot of run-outs.
Therefore just wondering if this should be one of the hands I use as a semi-bluff, but it doesn't look like anybody else thinks so. I think I agree, particularly as I doubt villain cbets this board without decent equity (although some may one and done it).
One other issue with the hand is that the flop call is fine if we don't plan for future streets. If I hit 2-pair facing barrels I'm in a tough spot, plus if I hit a low spade facing barrels I'm also struggling but most likely forced to call down. I know this doesn't make the flop a fold and we don't fold just to make life easier for ourselves, but again it's difficult to see how a competent villain wouldn't put us in a tough spot.
\gibberish
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