[25NL] - Facing Baluga Turn

[ST3]

Villian is pretty much unknown but could potentially be a weaker player because I have no hands on him.

I think turn is a call because he's pretty much repping 66, QQ and the only better 5 he can have here is A5 I think. I would expect him to raise 78, 34 or a flush draw on the flop, he could potentially c/r AQ or KQ here for thinnish value too.

River is kind of a weird spot when all draws miss and he bombs. I don't think he bets this big with AQ so he's pretty much repping A5/QQ or 66 which played the turn kinda weird. I think his range is boats or missed draws here and there's way more missed draw combos so I'm wanting to call. His turn c/r is really small and then bombing river reads to me, cheap price on draw then bomb as a bluff when misses.

Full Tilt, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, Rush, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

CO: $25 (100 bb)
Hero (BTN): $34.72 (138.9 bb)
SB: $25 (100 bb)
BB: $39.10 (156.4 bb)
UTG: $33.33 (133.3 bb)
MP: $45.93 (183.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5 7
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, SB folds, BB calls $0.25

Flop: ($1.10) 6 5 Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.66, BB calls $0.66

Turn: ($2.42) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.75, BB raises to $4.25, Hero calls $2.50

River: ($10.92) A (2 players)
BB bets $7.25, Hero?

[BorisTheSpider]

Interesting spot.

Like you said, his value hands are very unlikely. QQ just seems ridiculous especially deepish that he would flat a minraise preflop, 66 is certainly possible but like you said he raises the flop mostly. AQ seems possible certainly.

I think this is a call - I think you're going to see quite a lot of 77-TT that peeled the flop then decided to turn it into a bluff when you barrel and the board pairs, feeling that you are more likely Qx and you can put plenty of 5s in his range. When you just flat the raise, I think he can perceive you as still being Qx that he might get you off on the river, especially when an A rivers.

So yeah, I think he has a complete bluff here quite a lot.

[griffey24]

Never folding the top of my range here. Not to mention the fact that villain can think
1) 5x is scary, I'm going to bluff it
2) Uhoh he called my bluff, oooh Ace is scary I'm going to keep bluffing
3) We block his 5x, and the 6 on board also blocks some of his 5x hands

[The Bean Counter]

Never folding the top of my range here. Not to mention the fact that villain can think
1) 5x is scary, I'm going to bluff it
2) Uhoh he called my bluff, oooh Ace is scary I'm going to keep bluffing
3) We block his 5x, and the 6 on board also blocks some of his 5x hands

Nails it. We should be fine against your average weaker player to call - realistically, we're only behind 3 combos of 66 and 1 combo of 65s, we chop 75ss and 54ss and we beat air balls, bluffs that rivered top pair and the odd combo of weirdly played AQ.

[Lukie]

snap call

[rpm]

call turn, call river nh

[OngBonga]

If villain is unknown, why do you expect him to raise 34 and 78 on the flop?

I'm unlikely to fold this vs an unknown. Calling turn and river.