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2NL 88 in CO

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  1. #1
    Mury's Avatar
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    Mar 2014
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    British Columbia

    Default 2NL 88 in CO

    MP: $5.44 (272 bb)
    Hero (CO): $5.85 (292.5 bb)
    BTN: $1.31 (65.5 bb)
    SB: $1.23 (61.5 bb)
    BB: $5 (250 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 8 8
    MP raises to $0.04, Hero raises to $0.10, BTN calls $0.10, SB folds, BB calls $0.08, MP folds

    Flop: ($0.35) 2 3 5 (3 players)
    BB checks, Hero ??

    MP is 53/33 over 70 hands
    BTN is 48/21 15.8%3bet 2/5 fold to CB over 50 hands
    BB is 17/14 5.7%3bet 1/3 fold to CB over 150 hands



    So these are the continuing ranges I assigned my opponents:



    Equity Win Tie
    Hero 12.56% 11.51% 1.04% { 8d8c }

    BTN 49.06% 48.05% 1.02% { JJ-55, 33-22, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, JhTh, Ah9h, Kh9h, Qh9h, Jh9h, Th9h, Ah8h, Kh8h, Qh8h, Jh8h, Th8h, 9h8h, Ah7h, Kh7h, Qh7h, Jh7h, Th7h, 9h7h, 8h7h, Ah6h, Kh6h, Qh6h, Jh6h, 8h6h, 7h6h, Ah5h, Kh5h, Qh5h, Jh5h, 6h5h, Ah4h, Kh4h, Qh4h, Ah3h, Kh3h, Ah2h, Kh2h, A4o }

    BB 38.38% 37.21% 1.17% { JJ-55, 33-22, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh }




    Basically my question is: is there a point to betting here? Assuming my ranges are somewhat accurate I only have about 13%. I'll be out of position vs. an opponent a good amount of the time. I hate a lot of turn cards. Seems like a lot of reasons not to bet. I've got a decent amount of FE vs. the BB which doesn't help my positional problem vs the BTN.

    Does betting here basically turn my hand into a bluff? No, what better hands fold? None really.

    If we check and someone bets we're stuck wondering what to do.

    If we check and it goes through I hate like half the deck of turn cards.

    I feel like the only reason to bet here would be for protection but how often is that going to work?

    As you can see I'm kind of going in circles with this one... thoughts?

    Thanks
    Last edited by Mury; 03-24-2014 at 02:04 AM. Reason: spacing

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