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[16NL FR] - ATo turn spot in squeezed pot

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  1. #1

    Default [16NL FR] - ATo turn spot in squeezed pot

    I squeeze pre because SB is a fish and I think I'm ahead of his calling range but I end up getting called two ways. I was a bit unsure whether to bet the flop here but decided I can bet for value vs the fish and have Ah blocker to NFD's, reg ends up calling and fish folds.

    BTN: 21/17 with 20% f3bet (5 samples) over 223 hands total

    I think his range on the turn is something like QQ,AJ,KJ,QJ,JT,KQ,9T,89,JJ,TT,99,88. If I check then he'll check back the majority of his hands and if I shove he'll fold 88 maybe 89,9T,QQ but that might be close.

    Typing out this hand kinda answers my own question that I think it should be a check fold but I'm still interested to see what people say


    Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    SB: $10.57 (66.1 bb)
    Hero (BB): $16 (100 bb)
    MP1: $7.76 (48.5 bb)
    MP2: $16 (100 bb)
    MP3: $18.79 (117.4 bb)
    CO: $16 (100 bb)
    BTN: $16 (100 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with T A
    4 folds, BTN raises to $0.40, SB calls $0.32, Hero raises to $1.60, BTN calls $1.20, SB calls $1.20

    Flop: ($4.80) J J T (3 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $2.40, BTN calls $2.40, SB folds

    Turn: ($9.60) 9 (2 players)
    [color="red"]Hero ??
  2. #2
    hero shoves..
    "The harder you work, the luckier you get." ~ courtesy of my fortune cookie from china king

    "One of the best pieces of advice I've ever read in this forum was three words long...

    bet fucking fold." Ong
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by acg123 View Post
    hero shoves..
    reasoning?
  4. #4
    villain flats a lot of 3bs. hes only folding 3% of his opens, I expect him to have a lot of PPs, broadways and AK,AQ type hands 4bet % would be helpful too. since he flat called we can rule out KK,AA probably QQ and JJ too but well leave JJ in there.
    if his range is JJ-77, AQs-A8s, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+, QJo we have 54% OTT mostly because he hold NFD blocker. I would jam and take note of his holdings regardless of outcome.
    "The harder you work, the luckier you get." ~ courtesy of my fortune cookie from china king

    "One of the best pieces of advice I've ever read in this forum was three words long...

    bet fucking fold." Ong

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