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EV Calculation

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  1. #1

    Default EV Calculation

    iPoker - £0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    Hero (UTG): £2.03
    MP: £2.11 (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 26.67, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 15)
    CO: £0.65 (VPIP: 47.06, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
    BTN: £1.02 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 18)
    SB: £1.94 (VPIP: 11.76, PFR: 5.88, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
    BB: £2.00 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 6)

    SB posts SB £0.01, BB posts BB £0.02

    Pre Flop: (pot: £0.03) Hero has J A

    Hero raises to £0.08, fold, CO calls £0.08, BTN calls £0.08, fold, BB calls £0.06

    Flop: (£0.33, 4 players) T 6 A
    BB checks, Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets £0.12, fold, Hero calls £0.12, fold

    I wonder if I should c/r or c/c here? How do I calculate the EV to call vs the EV to raise?

    Thanks DJ
  2. #2
    how about just cbetting the flop
  3. #3
    Yeah at 2nl c-betting here is going to be the best thing to do by far I reckon. This hand is an awful candidate to x/r. Maybe post your thoughts as to why you think it would be a good hand to raise and why that is better than calling.

    Also it'd be quite hard to create an EV calculation for this spot. You're not even in a HU pot at the point you raise so I wouldn't worry about tryign to come up with a good calculation I'd worry about what factors affect whether you should call or raise.
  4. #4
    spoonitnow's Avatar
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    See "Easing Into the Math Side" from this link for links to my tutorial series on EV Calculations made super simple.
  5. #5
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    The problem is that you opened too loose from UTG with AJo.
    Stop that.

    Personally, AJs is usually an easy fold UTG. So AJo is just a snap fold / no-decision.
    It's not like you're playing 4-handed.

    ***
    Other than that, just C-bet flop.
    If a villain raises you, then put them on a range and decide.
    You have TPGK, and you certainly can't be calling down 3 streets without a strong read.
    (Assuming you C-bet) Calling a raise OTF is probably a losing proposition at 2NL in most cases, too.
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by MadMojoMonkey View Post
    The problem is that you opened too loose from UTG with AJo.
    Stop that.

    Personally, AJs is usually an easy fold UTG. So AJo is just a snap fold / no-decision.
    It's not like you're playing 4-handed.
    AJs is an easy open in any 6max range UTG. AJo is a some do some don't very close to 0EV type hand however at 2nl I think it can be a very profitable hand to open UTG.
  7. #7
    spoonitnow's Avatar
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    {{Moved to Small Stakes NL}}

    We normally post HHs in the SSNL forum and general questions in the BC.

    Thanks.
  8. #8
    Thank you all. I really appreciate your comments.

    I'll have a look at your link spoonitnow....I really want to nail the Maths this time as quickly as possible...

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