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What are my chance for improving with this hand?

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  1. #1

    Default What are my chance for improving with this hand?

    ***** Hand History for Game 1733236188 *****
    $25 NL Hold'em - Monday, March 14, 00:50:04 EDT 2005
    Table Table 36967 (6 max) (Real Money)
    Seat 5 is the button
    Total number of players : 4
    Seat 5: fallsrounder ( $47.63 )
    Seat 3: SlappYou ( $13.15 )
    Seat 8: JARTON ( $12 )
    Seat 6: manny324 ( $25 )
    SlappYou posts small blind [$0.1].
    fallsrounder posts big blind [$0.25].
    manny324 posts big blind [$0.25].
    ** Dealing down cards **
    Dealt to SlappYou [ 6d 7d ]
    manny324 checks.
    JARTON raises [$0.5].
    SlappYou calls [$0.4].
    fallsrounder calls [$0.25].
    manny324 calls [$0.25].
    ** Dealing Flop ** [ 8d, 5d, 6c ]

    And how many outs can you count?
    I know these might not necessarily be the nuts, but I am curious anyways

    Heres my attempt..trying not to recount any flush cards
    Nine diamonds, three 4s, three 9s, three 7s, two 6s
    20 outs?
  2. #2
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    himself fucker.
    Did you edit the preflop action?

    You're a flip against higher paired hands and you've got an orgy of outs. Let's get our aggro on.

    With no read. I could all outs to trips or better. If I can put him on a hand, you can react properly. You're diamonds are dead to a better draw, trips and two pair outs are dead against a set etc etc.

    -'rilla
    <a href=http://i.imgur.com/kWiMIMW.png target=_blank>http://i.imgur.com/kWiMIMW.png</a>
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla
    Did you edit the preflop action?

    You're a flip against higher paired hands and you've got an orgy of outs. Let's get our aggro on.

    With no read. I could all outs to trips or better. If I can put him on a hand, you can react properly. You're diamonds are dead to a better draw, trips and two pair outs are dead against a set etc etc.

    -'rilla
    Wow that was a quick reply, thanks.
    No, I didnt edit the preflop action. Why? If you got something against my playing a small suited connector against 3 players, then you are right. But still...

    What are the % for improving with this hand?

    I dont have the HH any more but all I did was bet the pot and get folds all around.
  4. #4
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    himself fucker.
    4 handed, I'm looking to dump it.

    You'll end up with two pair 22% of the time, trips 4%, a straight 20%, a flush 28% and a straight flush 9%.

    It probably would have been easier to say, you'll stay as one pair 15% of the time.

    Against rockets, you're a 65/35 favorite.

    -'rilla
    <a href=http://i.imgur.com/kWiMIMW.png target=_blank>http://i.imgur.com/kWiMIMW.png</a>
  5. #5
    Sykedupp's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla
    4 handed, I'm looking to dump it.

    You'll end up with two pair 22% of the time, trips 4%, a straight 20%, a flush 28% and a straight flush 9%.

    It probably would have been easier to say, you'll stay as one pair 15% of the time.

    Against rockets, you're a 65/35 favorite.

    -'rilla
    Just to clarify, those are the odds after the flop, not preflop...

    -Chris
    Quote Originally Posted by soupie
    That is the beauty of poker, it doesnt matter how they play, you can always devise the perfect defense and counterpunch hard.
  6. #6
    i wouldnt really count the 7 as an out because even if the 7 hits theres a very good chance that someone has the 9 or even the 4 to make the straight.[/quote]
    "I guess if there wasnt luck involved id win everyone."
  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by mimmons775
    i wouldnt really count the 7 as an out because even if the 7 hits theres a very good chance that someone has the 9 or even the 4 to make the straight.
    [/quote]

    Not if you are playing agianst decent players and you bet the flop.
    "Confidence not overconfidence"
    -radashack
  8. #8
    your rarely ever playing against good players online and will alwyas get called by fish who have a gutshot or if someone has 99, 44, or even 89 suited your 7 will be no good.
    "I guess if there wasnt luck involved id win everyone."
  9. #9
    Oh that table was definitely not decent. Not only did I suspect busted straight draws half the time, but they called river bets with them! No, they didnt bet...they called. I have some new buddies.

    But hey rilla, could you explain to me how I am such a favorite against rockets? I was only able to count 20 outs. 20 outs vs 47 unseen cards would be 43% right? Where have I gone wrong here?

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