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Fruck you t\/\/0 pair, critique want3d

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  1. #1
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    Default Fruck you t\/\/0 pair, critique want3d

    ***** Hand History for Game 1869908970 *****
    $25 NL Hold'em - Saturday, April 09, 15:57:01 EDT 2005
    Table Table 37265 (Real Money)
    Seat 8 is the button
    Total number of players : 9
    Seat 1: CargoCultist ( $24.75 )
    Seat 3: Triptan3s ( $36 )
    Seat 4: Dutsdrac ( $21.1 )
    Seat 5: gforce17 ( $16.9 )
    Seat 6: headninja111 ( $16.8 )
    Seat 7: AthensSot ( $9.5 )
    Seat 8: armie88 ( $20.8 )
    Seat 2: COBRA326 ( $9.3 )
    Seat 9: dgdave ( $34.2 )
    dgdave posts small blind [$0.1].
    CargoCultist posts big blind [$0.25].
    ** Dealing down cards **
    Dealt to Triptan3s [ Qh Th ]
    COBRA326 folds.
    Triptan3s calls [$0.25].
    Dutsdrac folds.
    gforce17 folds.
    headninja111 calls [$0.25].
    AthensSot calls [$0.25].
    armie88 calls [$0.25].
    dgdave calls [$0.15].
    CargoCultist checks.
    ** Dealing Flop ** [ 9c, Qd, Td ]
    dgdave checks.
    CargoCultist bets [$1].
    Triptan3s calls [$1].
    headninja111 folds.
    AthensSot folds.
    armie88 folds.
    dgdave folds.
    ** Dealing Turn ** [ 8c ]
    CargoCultist checks.
    Triptan3s bets [$3].
    CargoCultist raises [$6].
    gr8_set has joined the table.
    Triptan3s calls [$3].
    ** Dealing River ** [ 2d ]
    >You have options at Table 37639 Table!.
    CargoCultist bets [$5].
    Triptan3s folds.
    CargoCultist does not show cards.
    CargoCultist wins $19.75

    Check on the turn?
    Confizzled on what this guy had... Flush, flopped straight?
    T|-|a|\|k$
  2. #2
    Glaring mistake here is that you didn't make a big raise on the flop! Don't slow play 2 pair on a dangerous board like this!
  3. #3
    Agreed. Find out where you're at on the flop and either let it go or take it down. I'm guessing he had Jx and the 8 completed his straight.
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  4. #4
    You let him take control of the hand by not shoving a huge re-raise into his face on the flop... Don't be so passive.

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  5. #5
    ensign_lee's Avatar
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    Other than what's already said, I think you have to fold to his raise on the turn. Exactly what do you have him on that doesn't own you?
  6. #6
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ensign_lee
    Other than what's already said, I think you have to fold to his raise on the turn. Exactly what do you have him on that doesn't own you?
    Wanted to fill up on the river
  7. #7
    You have 4 outs (two Ts and two Qs), giving you a 9% chance to fill up. That's no where near the odds you need to call this bet. It's only barely a close decision if you can count on him calling a push for implied odds (and even then my math says no).
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  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffreyGB
    You have 4 outs (two Ts and two Qs), giving you a 9% chance to fill up. That's no where near the odds you need to call this bet. It's only barely a close decision if you can count on him calling a push for implied odds (and even then my math says no).
    Actually its really close. He needs to call 3$ on the turn for what would need to become a pot of 33$ to have odds to call. Had he called the 5$ river bet the pot would be 25$, instead he would have raised him at least 5$ and probably got called which would have become a pot of more than 35$.
  9. #9
    The only problem I see with those figures are that you're including the bets that he hasn't yet made in the size of the pot he's potentially winning with this bet. That's a mistake, I believe.
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  10. #10
    Ex. This plays out 100 times:

    9 times he wins it, profitting by $12.50 each time (excluding river bets).

    The 91 times he doesn't win it, he's losing $3 each time.

    I'll assume that the opponent will make the same $5 bet each time and that he'll call the raise. That brings his winnings up to $22.50 ($10 more of his opponent's money) for the times he wins it.

    In total then:
    9 * 22.50 = $202.50 profit
    91 * 3 = $273 loss

    Net: loss of $70.50
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  11. #11
    You are right!

    I still think that you were wrong in saying that he had no where near odds to call. Its not unlikely that his opponent would call a push on the river. Most people don't like folding straights even if the board does pair!
  12. #12
    It was closer than I thought. Even if the opp calls every time he pushes, it's at best marginally profitable, given their stack sizes...if my quick in-my-head addition is correct, opp had $7.50 more he could have called on the river, meaning it'd be $30 in winnings the 9 times that happens...still a net of -$3.

    All of this would have been a moot point if the flop reraise had occurred. We'd know if he was way behind and the odds would either be clearly in favor (with a large pot) or behind (due to a large bet).
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  13. #13
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    THanks for your input!
  14. #14
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    himself fucker.
    Check on the turn?
    Why check?

    Why bet?

    -'rilla
    <a href=http://i.imgur.com/kWiMIMW.png target=_blank>http://i.imgur.com/kWiMIMW.png</a>
  15. #15
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    Check behind, avoid check raise.

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