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Yes it was bad luck, but you could probably argue that it was also misplayed; both by you and your crappy opponent.
I only say misplayed in the context of my style of play. I'm not neccessarily saying that it was EV-'ve to try and suck more $$ out of him the way you did with your 1/2 pot size turn bet. I'm just saying that I'd rather take the lower variance, lower risk play over the high risk, higher variance play you made.
On the turn you obviously figured out that you had the best hand, but you should also recognize that it's very vulnerable to anyone pairing up just one over-card to your 7s. Personally, I'd prefer to make a pot size bet or a little bigger on the turn and take down the money already in the pot than to risk it and try to milk him for more. He made a mistake by calling your $50 bet on the turn (you offered him about 3:1 ($50 to call into a $94+$50 pot) on his money and his 6-outs draw odds weren't that good), but if I were you, I'd either knock him right out of the hand with a big bet that he just can't call, or make him make an even bigger mistake by getting him to call an even bigger bet if he's just no going to let go of his hand.
IMHO, Here's how big his mistakes were:
o He raised before the flop, which seems to have emotionally tied him to the pot (this is a common mistake I see all the time). These people seem to feel that if they raise before the flop, they are somehow entitled to win the pot. He should have known he was beat and mucked his frikin' hand.
o If he puts you on a 4, he's way behind. If he puts you on a 5, pocket 5s or any pocket pair he's way behind. He's either an idiot, or he truly felt that you were bluffing with something worse than his King high.
o He's calling your $50 bet into a $94 pot on the turn for what purpose? (that means the pot was offering him just under 3:1, whereas a 6 outer with one card to come requires over 6.5:1 to be profitable).
If he thought he was ahead with K high, then he should have raised you on the Turn; a clear fold or raise situation if you ask me. Unless, he was trying to get you to 'bluff off' more money to him? Maybe, but does he really have any legitimate reasons to think this is the case? The only other line of reasoning (that's a poor term for something that isn't reasonable at all  )is that he's hoping to hit his K or Q on the river (6 outs), and has good evidence that he isn't drawing dead already. However, he didn't have the right odds to make this draw so he should have folded. It was an EASY fold whether your turn bet was $50 or more, so yes he got lucky. However, to some extent you gave him the chance to get lucky by not betting even more on the turn.
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River, river, weeeh
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Originally Posted by Grand_MasterB
