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Hand analysis...

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  1. #1
    Sed's Avatar
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    Default Hand analysis...

    PFRer was reasonably tight and definitely not a fish but other than that no real read.
    I called the preflop raise after my limp since I was getting 5:1 on my money.
    Led out on the flop thinking if the raiser had AK I could push him off.

    PokerStars Game #1176621886: Hold'em No Limit ($0.05/$0.10) - 2005/02/06 - 03:27:24 (ET)
    Table 'Mnesthus' Seat #7 is the button
    Seat 2: ansel5 ($13.25 in chips)
    Seat 3: sed76 ($8.30 in chips)
    Seat 4: DieselShroom ($13.80 in chips)
    Seat 5: wolffee ($7.45 in chips)
    Seat 6: Island Bird ($10.25 in chips)
    Seat 7: crawdad369 ($7.85 in chips)
    Seat 9: casinocasino ($4.80 in chips)
    casinocasino: posts small blind $0.05
    ansel5: posts big blind $0.10
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to sed76 [Jd Ts]
    sed76: calls $0.10
    DieselShroom: raises $0.40 to $0.50
    wolffee: calls $0.50
    Island Bird: folds
    crawdad369: calls $0.50
    casinocasino: folds
    ansel5: calls $0.40
    sed76: calls $0.40
    *** FLOP *** [5d Js 5c]
    ansel5: checks
    sed76: bets $2
    ppppoker has returned
    DieselShroom: raises $10.70 to $12.70
    wolffee: folds
    crawdad369: folds
    ansel5: folds
    slopface has returned
    sed76: ....

    Comments???
  2. #2

    Default lay it down

    preflop raise is AJ at a minimum. He could also have QQ,KK,or AA. You are not invested enough in the pot to care. Lay it down and wait for a better spot
  3. #3
    Yeah, fold. A tight player preflop raises 5 bb's, then reraises a pot sized bet huge on the flop? Get out of there!
  4. #4
    Guest
    If you're not folding preflop (which in my opinion you should have, JTo is overrated) you are definitely folding that flop.

    AA, KK, QQ, AJ, KJ, QJ....the possibilities are endless.
  5. #5
    I don't know if I would have called the pre-flop raise. Facing such a raise, then having to play the rest of the hand out of position would be tough, IMO.
    ningster

    My only purpose in life is to serve as a warning to others.

    "Your best hand isn't just the hand with which you have the best cards, it's the hand with which you find yourself in the best position to make money." -- Daniel Kimberg
  6. #6
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    himself fucker.
    Is the villian capable of this bet without a pair?

    -'rilla
    <a href=http://i.imgur.com/kWiMIMW.png target=_blank>http://i.imgur.com/kWiMIMW.png</a>
  7. #7
    Sed's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla
    Is the villian capable of this bet without a pair?

    -'rilla
    not that I had seen... which is why the re-raise smelled pretty fishy to me.

    Reguarding the call preflop. you guys are right, my position sucked which I stupidly forgot to consider. I saw 3 calls before me, thought most of the As and Ks were out of play and if I hit the flop I might be ahead it the villan had AK or such...

    - sed
  8. #8
    Sed's Avatar
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    OK, accept that I called the pre-flop raise... I don't think it was that bad of a call, I was getting 5:1 on my call and put the guy on high broadways where hitting a straight or two pr would be payed off big.

    Was the lead out 80% pot sized bet a bad idea? I figured that i could try to take down the pot right then if the PFR was still drawing with overs.

    - sed
  9. #9

    Default Re: Hand analysis...

    Quote Originally Posted by sed
    PFRer was reasonably tight and definitely not a fish but other than that no real read.
    Fold
    If you put all your faith in the river, you are up shit's creek
  10. #10
    Thats a tough spot.. Really the only hands he could have that beat you are, AA, KK, and QQ, and QJ-AJ. I dunno, I think you have to lay it down.

    Man, I don't know though. I have seen people do crazy things when the pot gets big. If you had AJ, i would say call. But with TJ I think you have to fold.
  11. #11
    Sed's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyawe
    Thats a tough spot.. Really the only hands he could have that beat you are, AA, KK, and QQ, and QJ-AJ.
    I pretty much dissallowed for QJ-AJ with a 5x raise since he was playing pretty tight.... I had him on AK or a high pocket pair. I threw the bet out to see if he had AK. The massive re-raise said that he wanted to end it now which led me to a high pocket pair but not rockets.

    I folded after thinking this through taking up most of my time. He showed his Kings.

    - sed
  12. #12
    Sweet.. Nice laydown.
  13. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by sed
    OK, accept that I called the pre-flop raise... I don't think it was that bad of a call, I was getting 5:1 on my call and put the guy on high broadways where hitting a straight or two pr would be payed off big.

    Was the lead out 80% pot sized bet a bad idea? I figured that i could try to take down the pot right then if the PFR was still drawing with overs.

    - sed
    Say there is a 80 % chance for each of them to fold. That means ~40 % that everybody will fold, so that´s about the percentage you need. Pretty high.

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